Jingle Bells ga Tomaranai

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x30.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x25.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x10.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32

Guest Center Skill	퓨어 속성의 퓨어 P가 13% 업
Team P	49433 + 6431 (center skill) + 6431 (guest center skill) = 62295
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 242494
Estimated average score	242494 (non-skill score) + 56086 (average skill score) = 298580
Estimated maximum score	242494 (non-skill score) + 180171 (maximum skill score) = 422665
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 242552 (non-skill score) + 56220 (skills score) = 298772 Percentile 10: 242552 (non-skill score) + 45717 (skills score) = 288269 Percentile 50: 242552 (non-skill score) + 56117 (skills score) = 298669 Percentile 90: 242552 (non-skill score) + 67481 (skills score) = 310033 Percentile 95: 242552 (non-skill score) + 70614 (skills score) = 313166 Percentile 99: 242552 (non-skill score) + 77579 (skills score) = 320131 Percentile 99.5: 242552 (non-skill score) + 78825 (skills score) = 321377

Center

소노다 우미

Center Skill	퓨어 속성의 퓨어 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	4109 5478 3725
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 21회 달성할 때마다 27%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 272 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 26875
Estimated skill score	272 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 6022 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	272 x 10% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 6021
Estimated total score	26875 (estimated non-skill score) + 6022 (estimated skill score) = 32897

Left4

쿠니키다 하나마루

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 25회 달성할 때마다 27%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 311 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 27443
Estimated skill score	311 x 6.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 4366 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 6.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 4460
Estimated total score	27443 (estimated non-skill score) + 4366 (estimated skill score) = 31810

Left3

와타나베 요우

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 16회 달성할 때마다 24%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 244 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 27564
Estimated skill score	244 x 11.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 6032 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 11.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 6244
Estimated total score	27564 (estimated non-skill score) + 6032 (estimated skill score) = 33596

Left2

타카미 치카

Stats	Level 100	4071 5076 3879
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 24898
Estimated skill score	111 x 32.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 8140 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 8251
Estimated total score	24898 (estimated non-skill score) + 8140 (estimated skill score) = 33038

Left1

쇼우 란쥬

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	11.2초당 37%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 27299
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 8679 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 8474
Estimated total score	27299 (estimated non-skill score) + 8679 (estimated skill score) = 35979

Right1

호시조라 린

Stats	Level 100	3853 5442 3939
Skill	Level 9	15.2초마다 58%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 217 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 26696
Estimated skill score	217 x 14% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 6796 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	217 x 14% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 6690
Estimated total score	26696 (estimated non-skill score) + 6796 (estimated skill score) = 33492

Right2

츠시마 요시코

Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 21회 달성할 때마다 47%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 159 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 27408
Estimated skill score	159 x 13.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 4857 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 13.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 4906
Estimated total score	27408 (estimated non-skill score) + 4857 (estimated skill score) = 32266

Right3

사쿠라우치 리코

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 27334
Estimated skill score	289 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 5930 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 9.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 6021
Estimated total score	27334 (estimated non-skill score) + 5930 (estimated skill score) = 33265

Right4

쿠로사와 다이아

Stats	Level 100	4134 5500 3756
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 21개마다 31%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 207 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 311.3 (total multiplier) = 26976
Estimated skill score	207 x 11.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 223 = 5262 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	207 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 223 = 5352
Estimated total score	26976 (estimated non-skill score) + 5262 (estimated skill score) = 32238