Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 7 x28	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.1	Lv 100 / SL 7 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x7.8	Lv 100 / SL 7 x21.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Team P	48095 + 6256 (center skill) + 6256 (guest center skill) = 60607
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 171116
Estimated average score	171116 (non-skill score) + 47978 (average skill score) = 219094
Estimated maximum score	171116 (non-skill score) + 122791 (maximum skill score) = 293907
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 171184 (non-skill score) + 47848 (skills score) = 219032 Percentile 10: 171184 (non-skill score) + 40352 (skills score) = 211536 Percentile 50: 171184 (non-skill score) + 47846 (skills score) = 219030 Percentile 90: 171184 (non-skill score) + 55494 (skills score) = 226678 Percentile 95: 171184 (non-skill score) + 57845 (skills score) = 229029 Percentile 99: 171184 (non-skill score) + 61669 (skills score) = 232853 Percentile 99.5: 171184 (non-skill score) + 62574 (skills score) = 233758

Center

渡邊曜

Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19665
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3447 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3325
Estimated total score	19665 (estimated non-skill score) + 3447 (estimated skill score) = 23112

Left4

鬼塚夏美

Stats	Level 100	4999 4127 4108
Skill	Level 7	每14.4秒會有68%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加173
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 17784
Estimated skill score	173 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5059 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	173 x 16.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5075
Estimated total score	17784 (estimated non-skill score) + 5059 (estimated skill score) = 22843

Left3

近江彼方

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	每8.2秒會有46%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加197
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19521
Estimated skill score	197 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 7340 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 7350
Estimated total score	19521 (estimated non-skill score) + 7340 (estimated skill score) = 26861

Left2

澀谷香音

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 7	每7.4秒會有39.2%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加148
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 18826
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5425
Estimated total score	18826 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24164

Left1

艾瑪・薇蒂

Stats	Level 100	5242 4067 3847
Skill	Level 9	每8.2秒會有40.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加165
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 18651
Estimated skill score	165 x 18.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5426 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	165 x 18.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5425
Estimated total score	18651 (estimated non-skill score) + 5426 (estimated skill score) = 24077

Right1

櫻內梨子

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 7	每7.4秒會有39.2%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加148
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19140
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5425
Estimated total score	19140 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24477

Right2

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19312
Estimated skill score	252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	19312 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 23475

Right3

米雅・泰勒

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	每6.2秒會有38.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加138
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19176
Estimated skill score	138 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5806 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5950
Estimated total score	19176 (estimated non-skill score) + 5806 (estimated skill score) = 24983

Right4

矢澤日香

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加124
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 758 (base note score) x 225.7 (total multiplier) = 19041
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 6061 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5950
Estimated total score	19041 (estimated non-skill score) + 6061 (estimated skill score) = 25102