Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x25.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x7.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.9

Guest Center Skill	Smile P提升10%
Team P	41506 + 4154 (center skill) + 4154 (guest center skill) = 49814
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 131861
Estimated average score	131861 (non-skill score) + 41368 (average skill score) = 173229
Estimated maximum score	131861 (non-skill score) + 177805 (maximum skill score) = 309666
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 131948 (non-skill score) + 41514 (skills score) = 173462 Percentile 10: 131948 (non-skill score) + 32442 (skills score) = 164390 Percentile 50: 131948 (non-skill score) + 41085 (skills score) = 173033 Percentile 90: 131948 (non-skill score) + 51029 (skills score) = 182977 Percentile 95: 131948 (non-skill score) + 54263 (skills score) = 186211 Percentile 99: 131948 (non-skill score) + 58346 (skills score) = 190294 Percentile 99.5: 131948 (non-skill score) + 62389 (skills score) = 194337

Center

近江彼方

Center Skill	Smile P提升10%
Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	每8.2秒會有46%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加197
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17428
Estimated skill score	197 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 7340 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 7175
Estimated total score	17428 (estimated non-skill score) + 7340 (estimated skill score) = 24769

Left4

唐可可

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	每17個節奏圖示會有16%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加318
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12301
Estimated skill score	318 x 6.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3562 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 6.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3500
Estimated total score	12301 (estimated non-skill score) + 3562 (estimated skill score) = 15863

Left3

矢澤日香

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加124
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17005
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 6061 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 28.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 6125
Estimated total score	17005 (estimated non-skill score) + 6061 (estimated skill score) = 23066

Left2

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17243
Estimated skill score	252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 9.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	17243 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 21406

Left1

宮下愛

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12229
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4375
Estimated total score	12229 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16458

Right1

櫻內梨子

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12452
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	12452 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16680

Right2

上原步夢

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17820
Estimated skill score	332 x 5.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3330 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 5.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3325
Estimated total score	17820 (estimated non-skill score) + 3330 (estimated skill score) = 21150

Right3

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12669
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	12669 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16897

Right4

南琴梨

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12714
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4375
Estimated total score	12714 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16942