Chance Day, Chance Way!


This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
A Tree of Snow and Ice

Lv 100 / SL 9
x25.4
Echoes of a Stationfront Duet

Lv 100 / SL 9
x24.1
Offstage Nerves

Lv 100 / SL 9
x38.8
Food Stall Crawl

Lv 100 / SL 9
x19.3
Irresistable Kotatsu

Lv 100 / SL 9
x7.8
Making Demon Masks

Lv 100 / SL 9
x19.4
Trying Out Flower Arranging!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x34.2
Special Teatime

Lv 100 / SL 9
x20.8
Ah, I Slipped!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x21.9
Guest Center Skill Smile points increased by 10%
Team P 41506 + 4154 (center skill) + 4154 (guest center skill) = 49814
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 131861
Estimated average score 131861 (non-skill score) + 41368 (average skill score) = 173229
Estimated maximum score 131861 (non-skill score) + 177805 (maximum skill score) = 309666
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 131948 (non-skill score) + 41397 (skills score) = 173345
  • Percentile 10: 131948 (non-skill score) + 31671 (skills score) = 163619
  • Percentile 50: 131948 (non-skill score) + 41302 (skills score) = 173250
  • Percentile 90: 131948 (non-skill score) + 51506 (skills score) = 183454
  • Percentile 95: 131948 (non-skill score) + 54685 (skills score) = 186633
  • Percentile 99: 131948 (non-skill score) + 59681 (skills score) = 191629
  • Percentile 99.5: 131948 (non-skill score) + 62100 (skills score) = 194048
Center
Center Skill Smile points increased by 10%
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5486
Pure P 3834
Cool P 3992
Skill Level 9 Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 197 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17428
Estimated skill score 197 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 7340 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 197 x 21.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 7350
Estimated total score 17428 (estimated non-skill score) + 7340 (estimated skill score) = 24769
Left4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3871
Pure P 5483
Cool P 3958
Skill Level 9 For every 17 rhythm icons, there is a 16% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 318 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12301
Estimated skill score 318 x 6.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3562 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 318 x 6.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3500
Estimated total score 12301 (estimated non-skill score) + 3562 (estimated skill score) = 15863
Left3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5352
Pure P 4013
Cool P 3713
Skill Level 9 Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 124 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17005
Estimated skill score 124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 6061 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 124 x 27.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5950
Estimated total score 17005 (estimated non-skill score) + 6061 (estimated skill score) = 23066
Left2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5428
Pure P 4014
Cool P 3792
Skill Level 9 For every 20 PERFECTs you get, there is a 28% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 252 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17243
Estimated skill score 252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 252 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4025
Estimated total score 17243 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 21406
Left1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3850
Pure P 3949
Cool P 5435
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12229
Estimated skill score 289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 8.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4375
Estimated total score 12229 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16458
Right1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3920
Pure P 5572
Cool P 3976
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12452
Estimated skill score 289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 8.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score 12452 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16680
Right2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5610
Pure P 3926
Cool P 4010
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 17820
Estimated skill score 332 x 5.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3330 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 5.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3325
Estimated total score 17820 (estimated non-skill score) + 3330 (estimated skill score) = 21150
Right3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3988
Pure P 3903
Cool P 5577
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12669
Estimated skill score 289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 8.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4375
Estimated total score 12669 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16897
Right4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4001
Pure P 3846
Cool P 5543
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 623 (base note score) x 211.7 (total multiplier) = 12714
Estimated skill score 289 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4228 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 8.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score 12714 (estimated non-skill score) + 4228 (estimated skill score) = 16942