Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x28	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x7.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x25.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.5

Guest Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Team P	48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 178600
Estimated average score	178600 (non-skill score) + 26730 (average skill score) = 205330
Estimated maximum score	178600 (non-skill score) + 90530 (maximum skill score) = 269130
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 178710 (non-skill score) + 27031 (skills score) = 205741 Percentile 10: 178710 (non-skill score) + 20600 (skills score) = 199310 Percentile 50: 178710 (non-skill score) + 26997 (skills score) = 205707 Percentile 90: 178710 (non-skill score) + 33652 (skills score) = 212362 Percentile 95: 178710 (non-skill score) + 35745 (skills score) = 214455 Percentile 99: 178710 (non-skill score) + 38784 (skills score) = 217494 Percentile 99.5: 178710 (non-skill score) + 40382 (skills score) = 219092

Center

渡邊曜

Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 20285
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3447 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3500
Estimated total score	20285 (estimated non-skill score) + 3447 (estimated skill score) = 23732

Left4

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 19921
Estimated skill score	252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 9.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4375
Estimated total score	19921 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 24084

Left3

澀谷香音

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	每7.2秒會有39.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加152
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 19420
Estimated skill score	152 x 19.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5177 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5250
Estimated total score	19420 (estimated non-skill score) + 5177 (estimated skill score) = 24596

Left2

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	每達成23次COMBO就會有52%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加108
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 19956
Estimated skill score	108 x 13.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 2471 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 12.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 2450
Estimated total score	19956 (estimated non-skill score) + 2471 (estimated skill score) = 22427

Left1

西木野真姬

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	每22個節奏圖示會有34%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加198
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 20547
Estimated skill score	198 x 10.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3568 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 10.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3675
Estimated total score	20547 (estimated non-skill score) + 3568 (estimated skill score) = 24115

Right1

上原步夢

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 20590
Estimated skill score	332 x 5.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3330 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 5.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3325
Estimated total score	20590 (estimated non-skill score) + 3330 (estimated skill score) = 23920

Right2

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次COMBO就會有35%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加174
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 19941
Estimated skill score	174 x 6.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 1888 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 6.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 1925
Estimated total score	19941 (estimated non-skill score) + 1888 (estimated skill score) = 21829

Right3

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5072 4107 3977
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率讓體力恢復5
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 18616

Right4

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	每達成14次COMBO就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加123
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 232.9 (total multiplier) = 19326
Estimated skill score	123 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 2686 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 12.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 2625
Estimated total score	19326 (estimated non-skill score) + 2686 (estimated skill score) = 22013