Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x45	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x57.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x45.3

Guest Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Team P	48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 376277
Estimated average score	376277 (non-skill score) + 98393 (average skill score) = 474670
Estimated maximum score	376277 (non-skill score) + 341235 (maximum skill score) = 717512
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 376475 (non-skill score) + 98144 (skills score) = 474619 Percentile 10: 376475 (non-skill score) + 79761 (skills score) = 456236 Percentile 50: 376475 (non-skill score) + 97940 (skills score) = 474415 Percentile 90: 376475 (non-skill score) + 116528 (skills score) = 493003 Percentile 95: 376475 (non-skill score) + 121915 (skills score) = 498390 Percentile 99: 376475 (non-skill score) + 133842 (skills score) = 510317 Percentile 99.5: 376475 (non-skill score) + 139357 (skills score) = 515832

Center

渡邊曜

Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 42736
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13933 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 15.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 14145
Estimated total score	42736 (estimated non-skill score) + 13933 (estimated skill score) = 56669

Left4

西木野真姬

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	每22個節奏圖示會有34%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加198
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 43288
Estimated skill score	198 x 21% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 14339 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 14145
Estimated total score	43288 (estimated non-skill score) + 14339 (estimated skill score) = 57627

Left3

澀谷香音

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	每7.2秒會有39.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加152
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 40913
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 11136 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 11040
Estimated total score	40913 (estimated non-skill score) + 11136 (estimated skill score) = 52049

Left2

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次COMBO就會有35%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加174
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 42012
Estimated skill score	174 x 14.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 8770 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 14.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 8625
Estimated total score	42012 (estimated non-skill score) + 8770 (estimated skill score) = 50781

Left1

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5072 4107 3977
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率讓體力恢復5
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 39220

Right1

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	每達成14次COMBO就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加123
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 40717
Estimated skill score	123 x 23.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 10121 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 23.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 10005
Estimated total score	40717 (estimated non-skill score) + 10121 (estimated skill score) = 50838

Right2

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	每達成23次COMBO就會有52%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加108
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 42042
Estimated skill score	108 x 27.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 10109 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 27% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 10005
Estimated total score	42042 (estimated non-skill score) + 10109 (estimated skill score) = 52151

Right3

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 41969
Estimated skill score	252 x 18.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16158 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 18.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16215
Estimated total score	41969 (estimated non-skill score) + 16158 (estimated skill score) = 58127

Right4

上原步夢

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 490.6 (total multiplier) = 43380
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13828 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13800
Estimated total score	43380 (estimated non-skill score) + 13828 (estimated skill score) = 57208