Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x63.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x114.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x98.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x78.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x82.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x101.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x58.9

Guest Center Skill	스마일 P가 10% 업
Team P	40232 + 4026 (center skill) + 4026 (guest center skill) = 48284
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 430004
Estimated average score	430004 (non-skill score) + 322065 (average skill score) = 752069
Estimated maximum score	430004 (non-skill score) + 1364544 (maximum skill score) = 1794548
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 430245 (non-skill score) + 320600 (skills score) = 750845 Percentile 10: 430245 (non-skill score) + 271331 (skills score) = 701576 Percentile 50: 430245 (non-skill score) + 320921 (skills score) = 751166 Percentile 90: 430245 (non-skill score) + 370280 (skills score) = 800525 Percentile 95: 430245 (non-skill score) + 384668 (skills score) = 814913 Percentile 99: 430245 (non-skill score) + 409435 (skills score) = 839680 Percentile 99.5: 430245 (non-skill score) + 421273 (skills score) = 851518

Center

우에하라 아유무

Center Skill	스마일 P가 10% 업
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 59953
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score	59953 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 92137

Left4

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 42623
Estimated skill score	289 x 25.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38841 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 24.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	42623 (estimated non-skill score) + 38841 (estimated skill score) = 81463

Left3

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 20회 달성할 때마다 28%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 252 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 58012
Estimated skill score	252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 28.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	58012 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 96473

Left2

텐노지 리나

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 27회 달성할 때마다 24%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 319 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 58128
Estimated skill score	319 x 19.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32330 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32984
Estimated total score	58128 (estimated non-skill score) + 32330 (estimated skill score) = 90458

Left1

미나미 코토리

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 42774
Estimated skill score	289 x 25.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38841 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 24.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	42774 (estimated non-skill score) + 38841 (estimated skill score) = 81615

Right1

나카스 카스미

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 19회 달성할 때마다 21%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 42276
Estimated skill score	317 x 22.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 37745 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 22.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 37772
Estimated total score	42276 (estimated non-skill score) + 37745 (estimated skill score) = 80020

Right2

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 42961
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 31920
Estimated total score	42961 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 75145

Right3

탕 쿠쿠

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 17개마다 16%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 318 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 41385
Estimated skill score	318 x 19.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32641 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 19.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score	41385 (estimated non-skill score) + 32641 (estimated skill score) = 74026

Right4

사쿠라우치 리코

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 604 (base note score) x 711.9 (total multiplier) = 41893
Estimated skill score	289 x 25.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38841 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 25.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38836
Estimated total score	41893 (estimated non-skill score) + 38841 (estimated skill score) = 80733