Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x114.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x108.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x109.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Team P	48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 604196
Estimated average score	604196 (non-skill score) + 221689 (average skill score) = 825885
Estimated maximum score	604196 (non-skill score) + 722282 (maximum skill score) = 1326478
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 604513 (non-skill score) + 221851 (skills score) = 826364 Percentile 10: 604513 (non-skill score) + 188840 (skills score) = 793353 Percentile 50: 604513 (non-skill score) + 221406 (skills score) = 825919 Percentile 90: 604513 (non-skill score) + 255999 (skills score) = 860512 Percentile 95: 604513 (non-skill score) + 264479 (skills score) = 868992 Percentile 99: 604513 (non-skill score) + 286915 (skills score) = 891428 Percentile 99.5: 604513 (non-skill score) + 292087 (skills score) = 896600

Center

渡邊曜

Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 68622
Estimated skill score	266 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 23.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score	68622 (estimated non-skill score) + 33006 (estimated skill score) = 101628

Left4

上原步夢

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69656
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 31920
Estimated total score	69656 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 101840

Left3

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	每達成23次COMBO就會有52%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加108
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67508
Estimated skill score	108 x 40.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 23419 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 40.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 23408
Estimated total score	67508 (estimated non-skill score) + 23419 (estimated skill score) = 90927

Left2

澀谷香音

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	每7.2秒會有39.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加152
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65696
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 16914 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 17024
Estimated total score	65696 (estimated non-skill score) + 16914 (estimated skill score) = 82610

Left1

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5072 4107 3977
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率讓體力恢復5
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 62976

Right1

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	每達成14次COMBO就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加123
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65380
Estimated skill score	123 x 33.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 22185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 34.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 22344
Estimated total score	65380 (estimated non-skill score) + 22185 (estimated skill score) = 87565

Right2

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次COMBO就會有35%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加174
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67459
Estimated skill score	174 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 21559 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 23.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 21812
Estimated total score	67459 (estimated non-skill score) + 21559 (estimated skill score) = 89018

Right3

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67390
Estimated skill score	252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 28.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	67390 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 105851

Right4

西木野真姬

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	每22個節奏圖示會有34%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加198
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69508
Estimated skill score	198 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 32.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 34580
Estimated total score	69508 (estimated non-skill score) + 33962 (estimated skill score) = 103470