Chance Day, Chance Way!

Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
Trying Out Flower Arranging!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x69.4
Strawberry Dessert Buffet

Lv 100 / SL 9
x114.4
Heartfelt Feelings

Lv 100 / SL 9
x108.3
Never Forget Your Roots

Lv 100 / SL 9
x94.6
Osechi and Special Stewshine

Lv 100 / SL 9
x15.8
Stag Beetle Cake

Lv 100 / SL 9
x99.6
After Party

Lv 100 / SL 9
x111.7
Offstage Nerves

Lv 100 / SL 9
x109.2
Spring Astronomical Observation

Lv 100 / SL 9
x64.8
Guest Center Skill Increases Smile Pts for Smile Attribute characters by 13%.
Team P 48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 604196
Estimated average score 604196 (non-skill score) + 221689 (average skill score) = 825885
Estimated maximum score 604196 (non-skill score) + 722282 (maximum skill score) = 1326478
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 604513 (non-skill score) + 220491 (skills score) = 825004
  • Percentile 10: 604513 (non-skill score) + 185343 (skills score) = 789856
  • Percentile 50: 604513 (non-skill score) + 219771 (skills score) = 824284
  • Percentile 90: 604513 (non-skill score) + 254849 (skills score) = 859362
  • Percentile 95: 604513 (non-skill score) + 265550 (skills score) = 870063
  • Percentile 99: 604513 (non-skill score) + 287290 (skills score) = 891803
  • Percentile 99.5: 604513 (non-skill score) + 289527 (skills score) = 894040
Center
Osechi and Special Stewshine
You Watanabe
Center Skill Increases Smile Pts for Smile Attribute characters by 13%.
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5527
Pure P 3737
Cool P 4126
Skill Level 9 For every 24 rhythm icons, there is a 27% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 266 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 68622
Estimated skill score 266 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 266 x 22.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score 68622 (estimated non-skill score) + 33006 (estimated skill score) = 101628
Left4
Trying Out Flower Arranging!
Ayumu Uehara
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5610
Pure P 3926
Cool P 4010
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69656
Estimated skill score 332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 18% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 31920
Estimated total score 69656 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 101840
Left3
Strawberry Dessert Buffet
Ren Hazuki
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5438
Pure P 4045
Cool P 3751
Skill Level 9 Every time you get a 23 combo, there is a 52% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 108 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67508
Estimated skill score 108 x 40.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 23419 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 108 x 40.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 23408
Estimated total score 67508 (estimated non-skill score) + 23419 (estimated skill score) = 90927
Left2
Heartfelt Feelings
Kanon Shibuya
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5292
Pure P 3853
Cool P 3855
Skill Level 9 Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 152 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65696
Estimated skill score 152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 16914 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 152 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 17024
Estimated total score 65696 (estimated non-skill score) + 16914 (estimated skill score) = 82610
Left1
Never Forget Your Roots
Ren Hazuki
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5072
Pure P 4107
Cool P 3977
Skill Level 9 Has a 37.6% chance of restoring5 stamina every 5.2s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 62976
Right1
Stag Beetle Cake
Shiki Wakana
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5266
Pure P 3738
Cool P 4048
Skill Level 9 Every time you get a 14 combo, there is a 28% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 123 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65380
Estimated skill score 123 x 33.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 22185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 123 x 34.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 22344
Estimated total score 65380 (estimated non-skill score) + 22185 (estimated skill score) = 87565
Right2
After Party
Chisato Arashi
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5433
Pure P 3778
Cool P 4023
Skill Level 9 Every time you get a 27 combo, there is a 35% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 174 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67459
Estimated skill score 174 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 21559 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 174 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 21280
Estimated total score 67459 (estimated non-skill score) + 21559 (estimated skill score) = 89018
Right3
Offstage Nerves
Kinako Sakurakoji
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5428
Pure P 4014
Cool P 3792
Skill Level 9 For every 20 PERFECTs you get, there is a 28% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 252 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67390
Estimated skill score 252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 252 x 28.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score 67390 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 105851
Right4
Spring Astronomical Observation
Maki Nishikino
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5599
Pure P 4007
Cool P 3940
Skill Level 9 For every 22 rhythm icons, there is a 34% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 198 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69508
Estimated skill score 198 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 198 x 32.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 34048
Estimated total score 69508 (estimated non-skill score) + 33962 (estimated skill score) = 103470