Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x114.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x108.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x109.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.8

Guest Center Skill	스마일 속성의 스마일 P가 13% 업
Team P	48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 604196
Estimated average score	604196 (non-skill score) + 221689 (average skill score) = 825885
Estimated maximum score	604196 (non-skill score) + 722282 (maximum skill score) = 1326478
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 604513 (non-skill score) + 220825 (skills score) = 825338 Percentile 10: 604513 (non-skill score) + 186782 (skills score) = 791295 Percentile 50: 604513 (non-skill score) + 219205 (skills score) = 823718 Percentile 90: 604513 (non-skill score) + 255318 (skills score) = 859831 Percentile 95: 604513 (non-skill score) + 263958 (skills score) = 868471 Percentile 99: 604513 (non-skill score) + 281499 (skills score) = 886012 Percentile 99.5: 604513 (non-skill score) + 294188 (skills score) = 898701

Center

와타나베 요우

Center Skill	스마일 속성의 스마일 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 24개마다 27%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 266 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 68622
Estimated skill score	266 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 23.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32984
Estimated total score	68622 (estimated non-skill score) + 33006 (estimated skill score) = 101628

Left4

우에하라 아유무

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69656
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 31920
Estimated total score	69656 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 101840

Left3

하즈키 렌

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 23회 달성할 때마다 52%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 108 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67508
Estimated skill score	108 x 40.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 23419 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 40.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 23408
Estimated total score	67508 (estimated non-skill score) + 23419 (estimated skill score) = 90927

Left2

시부야 카논

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	7.2초마다 39.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 152 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65696
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 16914 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 17024
Estimated total score	65696 (estimated non-skill score) + 16914 (estimated skill score) = 82610

Left1

하즈키 렌

Stats	Level 100	5072 4107 3977
Skill	Level 9	5.2초당 37.6%의 확률로 체력이 5 회복됩니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 62976

Right1

와카나 시키

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 14회 달성할 때마다 28%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 123 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65380
Estimated skill score	123 x 33.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 22185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 34.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 22344
Estimated total score	65380 (estimated non-skill score) + 22185 (estimated skill score) = 87565

Right2

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 27회 달성할 때마다 35%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 174 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67459
Estimated skill score	174 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 21559 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 21280
Estimated total score	67459 (estimated non-skill score) + 21559 (estimated skill score) = 89018

Right3

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 20회 달성할 때마다 28%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 252 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67390
Estimated skill score	252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 28.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38836
Estimated total score	67390 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 105851

Right4

니시키노 마키

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 22개마다 34%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 198 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69508
Estimated skill score	198 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 31.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 33516
Estimated total score	69508 (estimated non-skill score) + 33962 (estimated skill score) = 103470