Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x90.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x104	Lv 100 / SL 9 x149.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x126	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x120.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x152.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x109.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x92.4

Guest Center Skill	Smile P提升10%
Team P	40457 + 4048 (center skill) + 4048 (guest center skill) = 48553
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 594300
Estimated average score	594300 (non-skill score) + 696085 (average skill score) = 1290385
Estimated maximum score	594300 (non-skill score) + 2261816 (maximum skill score) = 2856116
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 594784 (non-skill score) + 694110 (skills score) = 1288894 Percentile 10: 594784 (non-skill score) + 602858 (skills score) = 1197642 Percentile 50: 594784 (non-skill score) + 696069 (skills score) = 1290853 Percentile 90: 594784 (non-skill score) + 783605 (skills score) = 1378389 Percentile 95: 594784 (non-skill score) + 810683 (skills score) = 1405467 Percentile 99: 594784 (non-skill score) + 847126 (skills score) = 1441910 Percentile 99.5: 594784 (non-skill score) + 867278 (skills score) = 1462062

Center

上原步夢

Center Skill	Smile P提升10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 82401
Estimated skill score	332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 26.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73069
Estimated total score	82401 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 156061

Left4

西木野真姬

Stats	Level 100	3940 3944 5506
Skill	Level 9	每達成28次COMBO就會有30%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加314
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 57872
Estimated skill score	314 x 31.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 81078 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	314 x 31.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 80458
Estimated total score	57872 (estimated non-skill score) + 81078 (estimated skill score) = 138950

Left3

中須霞

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	每達成19次PERFECT就會有21%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加317
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 58104
Estimated skill score	317 x 32.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 85256 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 32.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 84563
Estimated total score	58104 (estimated non-skill score) + 85256 (estimated skill score) = 143361

Left2

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 59047
Estimated skill score	332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 74711
Estimated total score	59047 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 132707

Left1

唐可可

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	每17個節奏圖示會有16%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加318
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 56880
Estimated skill score	318 x 28.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73700 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 28.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score	56880 (estimated non-skill score) + 73700 (estimated skill score) = 130581

Right1

渡邊曜

Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 81189
Estimated skill score	266 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73893 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score	81189 (estimated non-skill score) + 73893 (estimated skill score) = 155083

Right2

天王寺璃奈

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次PERFECT就會有24%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加319
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 79892
Estimated skill score	319 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 71654 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 27.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 72248
Estimated total score	79892 (estimated non-skill score) + 71654 (estimated skill score) = 151546

Right3

朝香果林

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	每達成26次PERFECT就會有26%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加337
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 58692
Estimated skill score	337 x 30.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 84632 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 30.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 84563
Estimated total score	58692 (estimated non-skill score) + 84632 (estimated skill score) = 143324

Right4

國木田花丸

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	每達成25次COMBO就會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加311
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 60222
Estimated skill score	311 x 30.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 78551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 30.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 77174
Estimated total score	60222 (estimated non-skill score) + 78551 (estimated skill score) = 138773