Chance Day, Chance Way!

Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
On the Snowy Rink

Lv 100 / SL 9
x90.7
Makeup Kasumin

Lv 100 / SL 9
x104
A Day of Circling for Circles

Lv 100 / SL 9
x149.4
A Tree of Snow and Ice

Lv 100 / SL 9
x126
Trying Out Flower Arranging!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x33.6
Osechi and Special Stewshine

Lv 100 / SL 9
x120.9
FULL COMBO!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x152.7
Experiments in Chocolate

Lv 100 / SL 9
x109.5
Impressive VR Experience

Lv 100 / SL 9
x92.4
Guest Center Skill Smile points increased by 10%
Team P 40457 + 4048 (center skill) + 4048 (guest center skill) = 48553
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 594300
Estimated average score 594300 (non-skill score) + 696085 (average skill score) = 1290385
Estimated maximum score 594300 (non-skill score) + 2261816 (maximum skill score) = 2856116
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 594784 (non-skill score) + 694619 (skills score) = 1289403
  • Percentile 10: 594784 (non-skill score) + 600659 (skills score) = 1195443
  • Percentile 50: 594784 (non-skill score) + 694939 (skills score) = 1289723
  • Percentile 90: 594784 (non-skill score) + 786935 (skills score) = 1381719
  • Percentile 95: 594784 (non-skill score) + 806749 (skills score) = 1401533
  • Percentile 99: 594784 (non-skill score) + 864095 (skills score) = 1458879
  • Percentile 99.5: 594784 (non-skill score) + 878914 (skills score) = 1473698
Center
Trying Out Flower Arranging!
Ayumu Uehara
Center Skill Smile points increased by 10%
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5610
Pure P 3926
Cool P 4010
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 82401
Estimated skill score 332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 74711
Estimated total score 82401 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 156061
Left4
On the Snowy Rink
Maki Nishikino
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3940
Pure P 3944
Cool P 5506
Skill Level 9 Every time you get a 28 combo, there is a 30% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 314 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 57872
Estimated skill score 314 x 31.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 81078 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 314 x 31.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 82100
Estimated total score 57872 (estimated non-skill score) + 81078 (estimated skill score) = 138950
Left3
Makeup Kasumin
Kasumi Nakasu
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3955
Pure P 3899
Cool P 5536
Skill Level 9 For every 19 PERFECTs you get, there is a 21% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 317 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 58104
Estimated skill score 317 x 32.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 85256 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 317 x 32.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 84563
Estimated total score 58104 (estimated non-skill score) + 85256 (estimated skill score) = 143361
Left2
A Day of Circling for Circles
Chisato Arashi
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4020
Pure P 3861
Cool P 5587
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 59047
Estimated skill score 332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 27.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score 59047 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 132707
Left1
A Tree of Snow and Ice
Keke Tang
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3871
Pure P 5483
Cool P 3958
Skill Level 9 For every 17 rhythm icons, there is a 16% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 318 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 56880
Estimated skill score 318 x 28.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73700 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 318 x 28.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score 56880 (estimated non-skill score) + 73700 (estimated skill score) = 130581
Right1
Osechi and Special Stewshine
You Watanabe
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5527
Pure P 3737
Cool P 4126
Skill Level 9 For every 24 rhythm icons, there is a 27% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 266 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 81189
Estimated skill score 266 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73893 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 266 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73069
Estimated total score 81189 (estimated non-skill score) + 73893 (estimated skill score) = 155083
Right2
FULL COMBO!
Rina Tennoji
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5439
Pure P 3890
Cool P 3905
Skill Level 9 For every 27 PERFECTs you get, there is a 24% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 319 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 79892
Estimated skill score 319 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 71654 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 319 x 27.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 70606
Estimated total score 79892 (estimated non-skill score) + 71654 (estimated skill score) = 151546
Right3
Experiments in Chocolate
Karin Asaka
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3995
Pure P 5561
Cool P 3912
Skill Level 9 For every 26 PERFECTs you get, there is a 26% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 337 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 58692
Estimated skill score 337 x 30.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 84632 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 337 x 30.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 83742
Estimated total score 58692 (estimated non-skill score) + 84632 (estimated skill score) = 143324
Right4
Impressive VR Experience
Hanamaru Kunikida
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4100
Pure P 5594
Cool P 3852
Skill Level 9 Every time you get a 25 combo, there is a 27% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 311 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 607 (base note score) x 979.1 (total multiplier) = 60222
Estimated skill score 311 x 30.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 78551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 311 x 30.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 77995
Estimated total score 60222 (estimated non-skill score) + 78551 (estimated skill score) = 138773