Chance Day, Chance Way!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x125.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x164.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x138.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x132.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x167.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x132.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x101.7

Guest Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Team P	48665 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61325
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 841489
Estimated average score	841489 (non-skill score) + 483938 (average skill score) = 1325427
Estimated maximum score	841489 (non-skill score) + 1221736 (maximum skill score) = 2063225
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 841987 (non-skill score) + 481975 (skills score) = 1323962 Percentile 10: 841987 (non-skill score) + 424668 (skills score) = 1266655 Percentile 50: 841987 (non-skill score) + 481999 (skills score) = 1323986 Percentile 90: 841987 (non-skill score) + 540132 (skills score) = 1382119 Percentile 95: 841987 (non-skill score) + 554636 (skills score) = 1396623 Percentile 99: 841987 (non-skill score) + 587142 (skills score) = 1429129 Percentile 99.5: 841987 (non-skill score) + 600108 (skills score) = 1442095

Center

渡邊曜

Center Skill	Smile屬性的Smile P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	每24個節奏圖示會有27%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加266
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 95572
Estimated skill score	266 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73893 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 34.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 74711
Estimated total score	95572 (estimated non-skill score) + 73893 (estimated skill score) = 169466

Left4

西木野真姬

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	每22個節奏圖示會有34%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加198
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 96807
Estimated skill score	198 x 44.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 71739 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 43.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 71427
Estimated total score	96807 (estimated non-skill score) + 71739 (estimated skill score) = 168546

Left3

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5072 4107 3977
Skill	Level 9	每5.2秒會有37.6%的機率讓體力恢復5
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 87710

Left2

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次COMBO就會有35%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加174
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 93953
Estimated skill score	174 x 37% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 52822 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 36.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 52544
Estimated total score	93953 (estimated non-skill score) + 52822 (estimated skill score) = 146775

Left1

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	每達成20次PERFECT就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加252
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 93857
Estimated skill score	252 x 40.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 83430 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 40.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 82921
Estimated total score	93857 (estimated non-skill score) + 83430 (estimated skill score) = 177287

Right1

澀谷香音

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	每7.2秒會有39.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加152
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 91497
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 25281 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 25451
Estimated total score	91497 (estimated non-skill score) + 25281 (estimated skill score) = 116778

Right2

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	每達成23次COMBO就會有52%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加108
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 94022
Estimated skill score	108 x 59% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 52355 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 58.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 51723
Estimated total score	94022 (estimated non-skill score) + 52355 (estimated skill score) = 146376

Right3

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	每達成14次COMBO就會有28%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加123
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 91058
Estimated skill score	123 x 50.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 50759 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 50.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 50902
Estimated total score	91058 (estimated non-skill score) + 50759 (estimated skill score) = 141817

Right4

上原步夢

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 97013
Estimated skill score	332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 26.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73069
Estimated total score	97013 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 170673