Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.2

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	48031 + 6248 (center skill) + 6248 (guest center skill) = 60527
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 155485
Estimated average score	155485 (non-skill score) + 49996 (average skill score) = 205481
Estimated maximum score	155485 (non-skill score) + 138176 (maximum skill score) = 293661
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 155535 (non-skill score) + 49665 (skills score) = 205200 Percentile 10: 155535 (non-skill score) + 41227 (skills score) = 196762 Percentile 50: 155535 (non-skill score) + 49964 (skills score) = 205499 Percentile 90: 155535 (non-skill score) + 57462 (skills score) = 212997 Percentile 95: 155535 (non-skill score) + 60042 (skills score) = 215577 Percentile 99: 155535 (non-skill score) + 62974 (skills score) = 218509 Percentile 99.5: 155535 (non-skill score) + 64181 (skills score) = 219716

Center

하즈키 렌

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18149
Estimated skill score	163 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3141 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3059
Estimated total score	18149 (estimated non-skill score) + 3141 (estimated skill score) = 21290

Left4

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3970 4136 5050
Skill	Level 9	10.2초마다 36%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 270 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16348
Estimated skill score	270 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5443 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	270 x 12.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5313
Estimated total score	16348 (estimated non-skill score) + 5443 (estimated skill score) = 21791

Left3

와카나 시키

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17327
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17327 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23333

Left2

오니츠카 나츠미

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17391
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17391 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23398

Left1

츠시마 요시코

Stats	Level 100	3752 4074 5304
Skill	Level 9	6.2초마다 38.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 138 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17170
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17170 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22604

Right1

아사카 카린

Stats	Level 100	3804 4130 5222
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16903
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	16903 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 22910

Right2

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18098
Estimated skill score	439 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6519 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6440
Estimated total score	18098 (estimated non-skill score) + 6519 (estimated skill score) = 24617

Right3

토죠 노조미

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17037
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6118
Estimated total score	17037 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23043

Right4

아야세 에리

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	6.2초마다 38.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 138 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17062
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17062 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22496