Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.2

Guest Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P	48942 + 6367 (center skill) + 6367 (guest center skill) = 61676
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 158361
Estimated average score	158361 (non-skill score) + 42583 (average skill score) = 200944
Estimated maximum score	158361 (non-skill score) + 152137 (maximum skill score) = 310498
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 158465 (non-skill score) + 42589 (skills score) = 201054 Percentile 10: 158465 (non-skill score) + 34129 (skills score) = 192594 Percentile 50: 158465 (non-skill score) + 42522 (skills score) = 200987 Percentile 90: 158465 (non-skill score) + 50931 (skills score) = 209396 Percentile 95: 158465 (non-skill score) + 53129 (skills score) = 211594 Percentile 99: 158465 (non-skill score) + 56834 (skills score) = 215299 Percentile 99.5: 158465 (non-skill score) + 58484 (skills score) = 216949

Center

南琴梨

Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17935
Estimated skill score	289 x 6.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 6.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	17935 (estimated non-skill score) + 3185 (estimated skill score) = 21120

Left4

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18079
Estimated skill score	332 x 4.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 2483 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 4.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 2576
Estimated total score	18079 (estimated non-skill score) + 2483 (estimated skill score) = 20562

Left3

宮下愛

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17586
Estimated skill score	289 x 6.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 6.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	17586 (estimated non-skill score) + 3185 (estimated skill score) = 20771

Left2

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18048
Estimated skill score	289 x 6.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 6.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	18048 (estimated non-skill score) + 3185 (estimated skill score) = 21233

Left1

東條希

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17029
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17029 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23035

Right1

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17319
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17319 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23325

Right2

櫻坂雫

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	每14.2秒會有33%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加439
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18089
Estimated skill score	439 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6519 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 9.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6440
Estimated total score	18089 (estimated non-skill score) + 6519 (estimated skill score) = 24608

Right3

鬼塚夏美

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17383
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17383 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23389

Right4

朝香果林

Stats	Level 100	3804 4130 5222
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16895
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6118
Estimated total score	16895 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 22901