Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 80 / SL 5 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 80 / SL 5 x47.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.2

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	48904 + 6363 (center skill) + 6363 (guest center skill) = 61630
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 164688
Estimated average score	164688 (non-skill score) + 26034 (average skill score) = 190722
Estimated maximum score	164688 (non-skill score) + 93652 (maximum skill score) = 258340
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 164774 (non-skill score) + 26522 (skills score) = 191296 Percentile 10: 164774 (non-skill score) + 19110 (skills score) = 183884 Percentile 50: 164774 (non-skill score) + 26373 (skills score) = 191147 Percentile 90: 164774 (non-skill score) + 33988 (skills score) = 198762 Percentile 95: 164774 (non-skill score) + 36398 (skills score) = 201172 Percentile 99: 164774 (non-skill score) + 41024 (skills score) = 205798 Percentile 99.5: 164774 (non-skill score) + 43264 (skills score) = 208038

Center

하즈키 렌

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18879
Estimated skill score	163 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3141 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 12.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	18879 (estimated non-skill score) + 3141 (estimated skill score) = 22020

Left4

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18783
Estimated skill score	289 x 6.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3381
Estimated total score	18783 (estimated non-skill score) + 3185 (estimated skill score) = 21968

Left3

요네메 메이

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18893
Estimated skill score	211 x 7.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 2692 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 8.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 2737
Estimated total score	18893 (estimated non-skill score) + 2692 (estimated skill score) = 21585

Left2

요우

Stats	Level 80	3527 3395 4762
Skill	Level 5	리듬 아이콘 16개마다 22%의 확률로3초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 145 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 16039
Estimated skill score	145 x 4.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 1148 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	145 x 4.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 1127
Estimated total score	16039 (estimated non-skill score) + 1148 (estimated skill score) = 17187

Left1

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18826
Estimated skill score	439 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6519 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6601
Estimated total score	18826 (estimated non-skill score) + 6519 (estimated skill score) = 25345

Right1

소노다 우미

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 13개마다 38%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 116 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18839
Estimated skill score	116 x 15.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 2953 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 16.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3059
Estimated total score	18839 (estimated non-skill score) + 2953 (estimated skill score) = 21792

Right2

다이아

Stats	Level 80	3463 3247 4974
Skill	Level 5	콤보를 26회 달성할 때마다 50%의 확률로3초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 16749
Estimated skill score	111 x 7.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 1332 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 7.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 1288
Estimated total score	16749 (estimated non-skill score) + 1332 (estimated skill score) = 18081

Right3

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 27회 달성할 때마다 37%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 249 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18866
Estimated skill score	249 x 6.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 2580 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 6.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 2576
Estimated total score	18866 (estimated non-skill score) + 2580 (estimated skill score) = 21445

Right4

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 213.6 (total multiplier) = 18815
Estimated skill score	332 x 4.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 2483 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 4.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 2576
Estimated total score	18815 (estimated non-skill score) + 2483 (estimated skill score) = 21298