Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.2

Guest Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P	48031 + 6248 (center skill) + 6248 (guest center skill) = 60527
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 155485
Estimated average score	155485 (non-skill score) + 49996 (average skill score) = 205481
Estimated maximum score	155485 (non-skill score) + 138176 (maximum skill score) = 293661
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 155535 (non-skill score) + 50114 (skills score) = 205649 Percentile 10: 155535 (non-skill score) + 42843 (skills score) = 198378 Percentile 50: 155535 (non-skill score) + 49942 (skills score) = 205477 Percentile 90: 155535 (non-skill score) + 57830 (skills score) = 213365 Percentile 95: 155535 (non-skill score) + 60404 (skills score) = 215939 Percentile 99: 155535 (non-skill score) + 64313 (skills score) = 219848 Percentile 99.5: 155535 (non-skill score) + 64764 (skills score) = 220299

Center

葉月戀

Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	每達成18次PERFECT就會有41%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加163
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18149
Estimated skill score	163 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3141 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 12.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	18149 (estimated non-skill score) + 3141 (estimated skill score) = 21290

Left4

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3970 4136 5050
Skill	Level 9	每10.2秒會有36%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加270
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16348
Estimated skill score	270 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5443 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	270 x 12.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	16348 (estimated non-skill score) + 5443 (estimated skill score) = 21791

Left3

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17327
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17327 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23333

Left2

鬼塚夏美

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17391
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17391 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23398

Left1

津島善子

Stats	Level 100	3752 4074 5304
Skill	Level 9	每6.2秒會有38.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加138
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17170
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17170 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22604

Right1

朝香果林

Stats	Level 100	3804 4130 5222
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16903
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6118
Estimated total score	16903 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 22910

Right2

櫻坂雫

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	每14.2秒會有33%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加439
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18098
Estimated skill score	439 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6519 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6440
Estimated total score	18098 (estimated non-skill score) + 6519 (estimated skill score) = 24617

Right3

東條希

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17037
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17037 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23043

Right4

絢瀨繪里

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	每6.2秒會有38.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加138
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17062
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17062 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22496