Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.2

Guest Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Team P	48031 + 6248 (center skill) + 6248 (guest center skill) = 60527
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 155485
Estimated average score	155485 (non-skill score) + 49996 (average skill score) = 205481
Estimated maximum score	155485 (non-skill score) + 138176 (maximum skill score) = 293661
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 155535 (non-skill score) + 50148 (skills score) = 205683 Percentile 10: 155535 (non-skill score) + 42571 (skills score) = 198106 Percentile 50: 155535 (non-skill score) + 49813 (skills score) = 205348 Percentile 90: 155535 (non-skill score) + 57725 (skills score) = 213260 Percentile 95: 155535 (non-skill score) + 60693 (skills score) = 216228 Percentile 99: 155535 (non-skill score) + 64829 (skills score) = 220364 Percentile 99.5: 155535 (non-skill score) + 66196 (skills score) = 221731

Center

Ren Hazuki

Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	For every 18 PERFECTs you get, there is a 41% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 163 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18149
Estimated skill score	163 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 3141 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 3220
Estimated total score	18149 (estimated non-skill score) + 3141 (estimated skill score) = 21290

Left4

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3970 4136 5050
Skill	Level 9	Every 10.2 seconds, there is a 36% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 270 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16348
Estimated skill score	270 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5443 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	270 x 12.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	16348 (estimated non-skill score) + 5443 (estimated skill score) = 21791

Left3

Shiki Wakana

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17327
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17327 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23333

Left2

Natsumi Onitsuka

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17391
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17391 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23398

Left1

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	3752 4074 5304
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 138 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17170
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17170 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22604

Right1

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3804 4130 5222
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 16903
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	16903 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 22910

Right2

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 439 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 18098
Estimated skill score	439 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6519 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 6601
Estimated total score	18098 (estimated non-skill score) + 6519 (estimated skill score) = 24617

Right3

Nozomi Tojo

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17037
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 6006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5957
Estimated total score	17037 (estimated non-skill score) + 6006 (estimated skill score) = 23043

Right4

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 138 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 205.4 (total multiplier) = 17062
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 161 = 5433 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 161 = 5474
Estimated total score	17062 (estimated non-skill score) + 5433 (estimated skill score) = 22496