Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x31.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P	46813 + 5058 (center skill) + 5058 (guest center skill) = 56929
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 264438
Estimated average score	264438 (non-skill score) + 82551 (average skill score) = 346989
Estimated maximum score	264438 (non-skill score) + 413051 (maximum skill score) = 677489
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 264528 (non-skill score) + 82327 (skills score) = 346855 Percentile 10: 264528 (non-skill score) + 63281 (skills score) = 327809 Percentile 50: 264528 (non-skill score) + 81856 (skills score) = 346384 Percentile 90: 264528 (non-skill score) + 101553 (skills score) = 366081 Percentile 95: 264528 (non-skill score) + 106285 (skills score) = 370813 Percentile 99: 264528 (non-skill score) + 116480 (skills score) = 381008 Percentile 99.5: 264528 (non-skill score) + 121042 (skills score) = 385570

Center

南琴梨

Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32446
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32446 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42000

Left4

櫻坂雫

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	每14.2秒會有33%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加439
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32724
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score	32724 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43445

Left3

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32706
Estimated skill score	332 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7958 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 8.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score	32706 (estimated non-skill score) + 7958 (estimated skill score) = 40664

Left2

宮下愛

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 31814
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	31814 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41368

Left1

櫻內梨子

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18469
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	18469 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 28023

Right1

唐可可

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	每17個節奏圖示會有16%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加318
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18385
Estimated skill score	318 x 9.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8192 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8490
Estimated total score	18385 (estimated non-skill score) + 8192 (estimated skill score) = 26577

Right2

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32650
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	32650 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42204

Right3

中須霞

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	每達成19次PERFECT就會有21%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加317
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32404
Estimated skill score	317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 10.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32404 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 41790

Right4

米女芽衣

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	每15個節奏圖示會有22%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加211
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32841
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8077 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score	32841 (estimated non-skill score) + 8077 (estimated skill score) = 40918