Atarashii Chance


This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
Two of are Heroesโ˜†

Lv 100 / SL 9
x42.8
A Day of Circling for Circles

Lv 100 / SL 9
x50.9
Food Stall Crawl

Lv 100 / SL 9
x55
Making Demon Masks

Lv 100 / SL 9
x29.9
Ah, I Slipped!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x11
A Tree of Snow and Ice

Lv 100 / SL 9
x31.1
Special Teatime

Lv 100 / SL 9
x55.1
Makeup Kasumin

Lv 100 / SL 9
x48.3
Snacks for Our Seniors

Lv 100 / SL 9
x47.5
Guest Center Skill Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Team P 46813 + 5058 (center skill) + 5058 (guest center skill) = 56929
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 264438
Estimated average score 264438 (non-skill score) + 82551 (average skill score) = 346989
Estimated maximum score 264438 (non-skill score) + 413051 (maximum skill score) = 677489
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 264528 (non-skill score) + 82641 (skills score) = 347169
  • Percentile 10: 264528 (non-skill score) + 64648 (skills score) = 329176
  • Percentile 50: 264528 (non-skill score) + 82386 (skills score) = 346914
  • Percentile 90: 264528 (non-skill score) + 101489 (skills score) = 366017
  • Percentile 95: 264528 (non-skill score) + 106741 (skills score) = 371269
  • Percentile 99: 264528 (non-skill score) + 117463 (skills score) = 381991
  • Percentile 99.5: 264528 (non-skill score) + 119107 (skills score) = 383635
Center
Center Skill Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4001
Pure P 3846
Cool P 5543
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32446
Estimated skill score 289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 11.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score 32446 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42000
Left4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4075
Pure P 3880
Cool P 5591
Skill Level 9 Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 439 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32724
Estimated skill score 439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 439 x 8.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score 32724 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43445
Left3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4020
Pure P 3861
Cool P 5587
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32706
Estimated skill score 332 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7958 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 8.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score 32706 (estimated non-skill score) + 7958 (estimated skill score) = 40664
Left2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3850
Pure P 3949
Cool P 5435
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 31814
Estimated skill score 289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score 31814 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41368
Left1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3920
Pure P 5572
Cool P 3976
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18469
Estimated skill score 289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 11.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score 18469 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 28023
Right1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3871
Pure P 5483
Cool P 3958
Skill Level 9 For every 17 rhythm icons, there is a 16% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 318 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18385
Estimated skill score 318 x 9.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8192 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 318 x 9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8207
Estimated total score 18385 (estimated non-skill score) + 8192 (estimated skill score) = 26577
Right2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3988
Pure P 3903
Cool P 5577
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32650
Estimated skill score 289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9905
Estimated total score 32650 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42204
Right3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3955
Pure P 3899
Cool P 5536
Skill Level 9 For every 19 PERFECTs you get, there is a 21% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 317 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32404
Estimated skill score 317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 317 x 10.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score 32404 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 41790
Right4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3780
Pure P 4156
Cool P 5610
Skill Level 9 For every 15 rhythm icons, there is a 22% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 211 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32841
Estimated skill score 211 x 13.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8077 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 211 x 13.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score 32841 (estimated non-skill score) + 8077 (estimated skill score) = 40918