Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x31.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	46813 + 5058 (center skill) + 5058 (guest center skill) = 56929
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 264438
Estimated average score	264438 (non-skill score) + 82551 (average skill score) = 346989
Estimated maximum score	264438 (non-skill score) + 413051 (maximum skill score) = 677489
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 264528 (non-skill score) + 82646 (skills score) = 347174 Percentile 10: 264528 (non-skill score) + 63839 (skills score) = 328367 Percentile 50: 264528 (non-skill score) + 82274 (skills score) = 346802 Percentile 90: 264528 (non-skill score) + 102493 (skills score) = 367021 Percentile 95: 264528 (non-skill score) + 108331 (skills score) = 372859 Percentile 99: 264528 (non-skill score) + 118491 (skills score) = 383019 Percentile 99.5: 264528 (non-skill score) + 121118 (skills score) = 385646

Center

미나미 코토리

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32446
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9905
Estimated total score	32446 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42000

Left4

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32724
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score	32724 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43445

Left3

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32706
Estimated skill score	332 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7958 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score	32706 (estimated non-skill score) + 7958 (estimated skill score) = 40664

Left2

미야시타 아이

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 289 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 31814
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	31814 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41368

Left1

사쿠라우치 리코

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18469
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	18469 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 28023

Right1

탕 쿠쿠

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 17개마다 16%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 318 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 18385
Estimated skill score	318 x 9.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8192 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8490
Estimated total score	18385 (estimated non-skill score) + 8192 (estimated skill score) = 26577

Right2

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32650
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	32650 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42204

Right3

나카스 카스미

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 19회 달성할 때마다 21%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32404
Estimated skill score	317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 10.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	32404 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 41790

Right4

요네메 메이

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 712 (base note score) x 371.4 (total multiplier) = 32841
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8077 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8207
Estimated total score	32841 (estimated non-skill score) + 8077 (estimated skill score) = 40918