Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 80 / SL 5 x60.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	49685 + 6464 (center skill) + 6464 (guest center skill) = 62613
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 299893
Estimated average score	299893 (non-skill score) + 75746 (average skill score) = 375639
Estimated maximum score	299893 (non-skill score) + 291175 (maximum skill score) = 591068
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 300050 (non-skill score) + 75450 (skills score) = 375500 Percentile 10: 300050 (non-skill score) + 59288 (skills score) = 359338 Percentile 50: 300050 (non-skill score) + 75169 (skills score) = 375219 Percentile 90: 300050 (non-skill score) + 91365 (skills score) = 391415 Percentile 95: 300050 (non-skill score) + 95780 (skills score) = 395830 Percentile 99: 300050 (non-skill score) + 103918 (skills score) = 403968 Percentile 99.5: 300050 (non-skill score) + 105709 (skills score) = 405759

Center

미나미 코토리

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33456
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	33456 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 43010

Left4

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33743
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score	33743 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 44463

Left3

하즈키 렌

Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33839
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9557 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	33839 (estimated non-skill score) + 9557 (estimated skill score) = 43396

Left2

요네메 메이

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33863
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8077 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8207
Estimated total score	33863 (estimated non-skill score) + 8077 (estimated skill score) = 41940

Left1

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33666
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33666 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 43221

Right1

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33724
Estimated skill score	332 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7958 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 8.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score	33724 (estimated non-skill score) + 7958 (estimated skill score) = 41682

Right2

다이아

Stats	Level 80	3463 3247 4974
Skill	Level 5	콤보를 26회 달성할 때마다 50%의 확률로3초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 30021
Estimated skill score	111 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 3774 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 3679
Estimated total score	30021 (estimated non-skill score) + 3774 (estimated skill score) = 33795

Right3

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 27회 달성할 때마다 37%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 249 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33815
Estimated skill score	249 x 10.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7555 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 10.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7358
Estimated total score	33815 (estimated non-skill score) + 7555 (estimated skill score) = 41370

Right4

소노다 우미

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 13개마다 38%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 116 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33767
Estimated skill score	116 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	33767 (estimated non-skill score) + 8997 (estimated skill score) = 42764