Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 80 / SL 5 x60.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	49685 + 6464 (center skill) + 6464 (guest center skill) = 62613
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 299893
Estimated average score	299893 (non-skill score) + 75746 (average skill score) = 375639
Estimated maximum score	299893 (non-skill score) + 291175 (maximum skill score) = 591068
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 300050 (non-skill score) + 75389 (skills score) = 375439 Percentile 10: 300050 (non-skill score) + 61566 (skills score) = 361616 Percentile 50: 300050 (non-skill score) + 74575 (skills score) = 374625 Percentile 90: 300050 (non-skill score) + 91315 (skills score) = 391365 Percentile 95: 300050 (non-skill score) + 95577 (skills score) = 395627 Percentile 99: 300050 (non-skill score) + 103305 (skills score) = 403355 Percentile 99.5: 300050 (non-skill score) + 106768 (skills score) = 406818

Center

미나미 코토리

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33456
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	33456 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 43010

Left4

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33743
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score	33743 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 44463

Left3

하즈키 렌

Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33839
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9557 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 20.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9339
Estimated total score	33839 (estimated non-skill score) + 9557 (estimated skill score) = 43396

Left2

요네메 메이

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33863
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8077 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8207
Estimated total score	33863 (estimated non-skill score) + 8077 (estimated skill score) = 41940

Left1

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33666
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33666 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 43221

Right1

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33724
Estimated skill score	332 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7958 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7924
Estimated total score	33724 (estimated non-skill score) + 7958 (estimated skill score) = 41682

Right2

다이아

Stats	Level 80	3463 3247 4974
Skill	Level 5	콤보를 26회 달성할 때마다 50%의 확률로3초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 30021
Estimated skill score	111 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 3774 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 12.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 3962
Estimated total score	30021 (estimated non-skill score) + 3774 (estimated skill score) = 33795

Right3

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 27회 달성할 때마다 37%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 249 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33815
Estimated skill score	249 x 10.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 7555 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 7641
Estimated total score	33815 (estimated non-skill score) + 7555 (estimated skill score) = 41370

Right4

소노다 우미

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 13개마다 38%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 116 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 383 (total multiplier) = 33767
Estimated skill score	116 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 27.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	33767 (estimated non-skill score) + 8997 (estimated skill score) = 42764