Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P	49608 + 6453 (center skill) + 6453 (guest center skill) = 62514
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 295199
Estimated average score	295199 (non-skill score) + 88267 (average skill score) = 383466
Estimated maximum score	295199 (non-skill score) + 333496 (maximum skill score) = 628695
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 295400 (non-skill score) + 88351 (skills score) = 383751 Percentile 10: 295400 (non-skill score) + 73277 (skills score) = 368677 Percentile 50: 295400 (non-skill score) + 87822 (skills score) = 383222 Percentile 90: 295400 (non-skill score) + 103990 (skills score) = 399390 Percentile 95: 295400 (non-skill score) + 108928 (skills score) = 404328 Percentile 99: 295400 (non-skill score) + 118681 (skills score) = 414081 Percentile 99.5: 295400 (non-skill score) + 122845 (skills score) = 418245

Center

葉月戀

Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	每達成18次PERFECT就會有41%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加163
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33362
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9557 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33362 (estimated non-skill score) + 9557 (estimated skill score) = 42919

Left4

若菜四季

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31851
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 32.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10188
Estimated total score	31851 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42322

Left3

南琴梨

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32984
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32984 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42538

Left2

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33192
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33192 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42746

Left1

宮下愛

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32342
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9905
Estimated total score	32342 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41896

Right1

園田海未

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	每13個節奏圖示會有38%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加116
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33291
Estimated skill score	116 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 27.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	33291 (estimated non-skill score) + 8997 (estimated skill score) = 42288

Right2

櫻坂雫

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	每14.2秒會有33%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加439
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33267
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10754
Estimated total score	33267 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43988

Right3

鬼塚夏美

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	每4.2秒會有35.6%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31969
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10471
Estimated total score	31969 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42441

Right4

中須霞

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	每達成19次PERFECT就會有21%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加317
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32942
Estimated skill score	317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 10.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	32942 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 42328