Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Team P	49608 + 6453 (center skill) + 6453 (guest center skill) = 62514
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 295199
Estimated average score	295199 (non-skill score) + 88267 (average skill score) = 383466
Estimated maximum score	295199 (non-skill score) + 333496 (maximum skill score) = 628695
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 295400 (non-skill score) + 88232 (skills score) = 383632 Percentile 10: 295400 (non-skill score) + 72675 (skills score) = 368075 Percentile 50: 295400 (non-skill score) + 88217 (skills score) = 383617 Percentile 90: 295400 (non-skill score) + 105124 (skills score) = 400524 Percentile 95: 295400 (non-skill score) + 108933 (skills score) = 404333 Percentile 99: 295400 (non-skill score) + 115644 (skills score) = 411044 Percentile 99.5: 295400 (non-skill score) + 117369 (skills score) = 412769

Center

Ren Hazuki

Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	For every 18 PERFECTs you get, there is a 41% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 163 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33362
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9557 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33362 (estimated non-skill score) + 9557 (estimated skill score) = 42919

Left4

Shiki Wakana

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31851
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10471
Estimated total score	31851 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42322

Left3

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32984
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32984 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42538

Left2

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33192
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33192 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42746

Left1

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32342
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32342 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41896

Right1

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	For every 13 rhythm icons, there is a 38% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 116 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33291
Estimated skill score	116 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	33291 (estimated non-skill score) + 8997 (estimated skill score) = 42288

Right2

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 439 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33267
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 11037
Estimated total score	33267 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43988

Right3

Natsumi Onitsuka

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31969
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10471
Estimated total score	31969 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42441

Right4

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	For every 19 PERFECTs you get, there is a 21% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 317 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32942
Estimated skill score	317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 9.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8773
Estimated total score	32942 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 42328