Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	49608 + 6453 (center skill) + 6453 (guest center skill) = 62514
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 295199
Estimated average score	295199 (non-skill score) + 88267 (average skill score) = 383466
Estimated maximum score	295199 (non-skill score) + 333496 (maximum skill score) = 628695
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 295400 (non-skill score) + 88451 (skills score) = 383851 Percentile 10: 295400 (non-skill score) + 72692 (skills score) = 368092 Percentile 50: 295400 (non-skill score) + 88468 (skills score) = 383868 Percentile 90: 295400 (non-skill score) + 104803 (skills score) = 400203 Percentile 95: 295400 (non-skill score) + 109824 (skills score) = 405224 Percentile 99: 295400 (non-skill score) + 118867 (skills score) = 414267 Percentile 99.5: 295400 (non-skill score) + 123364 (skills score) = 418764

Center

하즈키 렌

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33362
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9557 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 20.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33362 (estimated non-skill score) + 9557 (estimated skill score) = 42919

Left4

와카나 시키

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31851
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10471
Estimated total score	31851 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42322

Left3

미나미 코토리

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32984
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9905
Estimated total score	32984 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42538

Left2

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33192
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	33192 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 42746

Left1

미야시타 아이

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 289 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32342
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9554 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9622
Estimated total score	32342 (estimated non-skill score) + 9554 (estimated skill score) = 41896

Right1

소노다 우미

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 13개마다 38%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 116 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33291
Estimated skill score	116 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 8997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 27.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 9056
Estimated total score	33291 (estimated non-skill score) + 8997 (estimated skill score) = 42288

Right2

오사카 시즈쿠

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	14.2초당 33%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 439 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 33267
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10720 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 11037
Estimated total score	33267 (estimated non-skill score) + 10720 (estimated skill score) = 43988

Right3

오니츠카 나츠미

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	4.2초마다 35.6%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 111 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 31969
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 10472 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 32.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 10188
Estimated total score	31969 (estimated non-skill score) + 10472 (estimated skill score) = 42441

Right4

나카스 카스미

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 19회 달성할 때마다 21%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 782 (base note score) x 377.5 (total multiplier) = 32942
Estimated skill score	317 x 10.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 283 = 9386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 9.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 283 = 8773
Estimated total score	32942 (estimated non-skill score) + 9386 (estimated skill score) = 42328