Atarashii Chance


This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
送給前輩們的禮物

Lv 100 / SL 9
x56.2
模擬店巡迴中

Lv 100 / SL 9
x80.1
特別的喝茶時間

Lv 100 / SL 9
x93.5
Jellyfish

Lv 100 / SL 9
x64.2
感謝的心情

Lv 100 / SL 9
x18.5
蔓延到門廊的微笑

Lv 100 / SL 9
x59.4
啊,摔倒了

Lv 100 / SL 9
x91.4
化妝的霞

Lv 100 / SL 9
x80.3
東京炸薯條

Lv 100 / SL 9
x64.2
Guest Center Skill Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P 49993 + 6504 (center skill) + 6504 (guest center skill) = 63001
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 478820
Estimated average score 478820 (non-skill score) + 219991 (average skill score) = 698811
Estimated maximum score 478820 (non-skill score) + 805050 (maximum skill score) = 1283870
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 479085 (non-skill score) + 219643 (skills score) = 698728
  • Percentile 10: 479085 (non-skill score) + 187064 (skills score) = 666149
  • Percentile 50: 479085 (non-skill score) + 220417 (skills score) = 699502
  • Percentile 90: 479085 (non-skill score) + 250266 (skills score) = 729351
  • Percentile 95: 479085 (non-skill score) + 260682 (skills score) = 739767
  • Percentile 99: 479085 (non-skill score) + 279717 (skills score) = 758802
  • Percentile 99.5: 479085 (non-skill score) + 284744 (skills score) = 763829
Center
Center Skill Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3954
Pure P 3985
Cool P 5607
Skill Level 9 每達成18次PERFECT就會有41%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加163
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53695
Estimated skill score 163 x 34.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25816 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 163 x 34.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 53695 (estimated non-skill score) + 25816 (estimated skill score) = 79511
Left4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3780
Pure P 4156
Cool P 5610
Skill Level 9 每15個節奏圖示會有22%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加211
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53733
Estimated skill score 211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 211 x 22.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21840
Estimated total score 53733 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 75481
Left3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3850
Pure P 3949
Cool P 5435
Skill Level 9 每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 52054
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 52054 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 77903
Left2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3988
Pure P 3903
Cool P 5577
Skill Level 9 每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53422
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 53422 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 79271
Left1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3953
Pure P 3870
Cool P 5489
Skill Level 9 每達成22次PERFECT就會有31%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加248
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 52571
Estimated skill score 248 x 22.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 24920 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 248 x 22.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25025
Estimated total score 52571 (estimated non-skill score) + 24920 (estimated skill score) = 77490
Right1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3967
Pure P 3985
Cool P 5594
Skill Level 9 每13個節奏圖示會有38%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加116
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53581
Estimated skill score 116 x 42.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22413 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 116 x 42.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22750
Estimated total score 53581 (estimated non-skill score) + 22413 (estimated skill score) = 75994
Right2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4001
Pure P 3846
Cool P 5543
Skill Level 9 每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53087
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25480
Estimated total score 53087 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 78936
Right3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3955
Pure P 3899
Cool P 5536
Skill Level 9 每達成19次PERFECT就會有21%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加317
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53019
Estimated skill score 317 x 17.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 317 x 17.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25025
Estimated total score 53019 (estimated non-skill score) + 25161 (estimated skill score) = 78180
Right4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4036
Pure P 3908
Cool P 5602
Skill Level 9 每達成27次COMBO就會有37%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加249
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53657
Estimated skill score 249 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22388 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 249 x 19.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22295
Estimated total score 53657 (estimated non-skill score) + 22388 (estimated skill score) = 76045