Atarashii Chance


This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4 Left3 Left2 Left1 Center Right1 Right2 Right3 Right4
Making Demon Masks

Lv 100 / SL 9
x51.1
Food Stall Crawl

Lv 100 / SL 9
x80.1
A Day of Circling for Circles

Lv 100 / SL 9
x93.5
Makeup Kasumin

Lv 100 / SL 9
x64.2
Snacks for Our Seniors

Lv 100 / SL 9
x18.5
Trying Out Flower Arranging!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x54
Special Teatime

Lv 100 / SL 9
x91.4
Ah, I Slipped!

Lv 100 / SL 9
x80.3
A Tree of Snow and Ice

Lv 100 / SL 9
x58.4
Guest Center Skill Cool points increased by 10%
Team P 45232 + 4526 (center skill) + 4526 (guest center skill) = 54284
Estimated non-skill score (AP) 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 401492
Estimated average score 401492 (non-skill score) + 214428 (average skill score) = 615920
Estimated maximum score 401492 (non-skill score) + 1033807 (maximum skill score) = 1435299
Score from 1000 simulations
  • Average: 401671 (non-skill score) + 213950 (skills score) = 615621
  • Percentile 10: 401671 (non-skill score) + 175048 (skills score) = 576719
  • Percentile 50: 401671 (non-skill score) + 213128 (skills score) = 614799
  • Percentile 90: 401671 (non-skill score) + 252097 (skills score) = 653768
  • Percentile 95: 401671 (non-skill score) + 262240 (skills score) = 663911
  • Percentile 99: 401671 (non-skill score) + 284722 (skills score) = 686393
  • Percentile 99.5: 401671 (non-skill score) + 300364 (skills score) = 702035
Center
Center Skill Cool points increased by 10%
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3780
Pure P 4156
Cool P 5610
Skill Level 9 For every 15 rhythm icons, there is a 22% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 211 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49791
Estimated skill score 211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 211 x 22.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21840
Estimated total score 49791 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 71539
Left4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3920
Pure P 5572
Cool P 3976
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35294
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 35294 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 61143
Left3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3850
Pure P 3949
Cool P 5435
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 48245
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25480
Estimated total score 48245 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 74094
Left2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4020
Pure P 3861
Cool P 5587
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49591
Estimated skill score 332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 14.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21840
Estimated total score 49591 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 70977
Left1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3955
Pure P 3899
Cool P 5536
Skill Level 9 For every 19 PERFECTs you get, there is a 21% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 317 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49140
Estimated skill score 317 x 17.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 317 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 24570
Estimated total score 49140 (estimated non-skill score) + 25161 (estimated skill score) = 74301
Right1
Stats Level 100
Smile P 5610
Pure P 3926
Cool P 4010
Skill Level 9 For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35590
Estimated skill score 332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 332 x 13.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 20930
Estimated total score 35590 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 56977
Right2
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3988
Pure P 3903
Cool P 5577
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49502
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 49502 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 75351
Right3
Stats Level 100
Smile P 4001
Pure P 3846
Cool P 5543
Skill Level 9 For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49207
Estimated skill score 289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 289 x 19.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score 49207 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 75055
Right4
Stats Level 100
Smile P 3871
Pure P 5483
Cool P 3958
Skill Level 9 For every 17 rhythm icons, there is a 16% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 318 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score 10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35132
Estimated skill score 318 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21351 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score 318 x 14.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21385
Estimated total score 35132 (estimated non-skill score) + 21351 (estimated skill score) = 56483