Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x51.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x93.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x54	Lv 100 / SL 9 x91.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x58.4

Guest Center Skill	쿨 P가 10% 업
Team P	45232 + 4526 (center skill) + 4526 (guest center skill) = 54284
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 401492
Estimated average score	401492 (non-skill score) + 214428 (average skill score) = 615920
Estimated maximum score	401492 (non-skill score) + 1033807 (maximum skill score) = 1435299
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 401671 (non-skill score) + 213920 (skills score) = 615591 Percentile 10: 401671 (non-skill score) + 178953 (skills score) = 580624 Percentile 50: 401671 (non-skill score) + 213381 (skills score) = 615052 Percentile 90: 401671 (non-skill score) + 248571 (skills score) = 650242 Percentile 95: 401671 (non-skill score) + 260307 (skills score) = 661978 Percentile 99: 401671 (non-skill score) + 281370 (skills score) = 683041 Percentile 99.5: 401671 (non-skill score) + 287858 (skills score) = 689529

Center

요네메 메이

Center Skill	쿨 P가 10% 업
Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49791
Estimated skill score	211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 22.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21840
Estimated total score	49791 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 71539

Left4

사쿠라우치 리코

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35294
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	35294 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 61143

Left3

미야시타 아이

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 289 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 48245
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25480
Estimated total score	48245 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 74094

Left2

아라시 치사토

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49591
Estimated skill score	332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 14% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 20930
Estimated total score	49591 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 70977

Left1

나카스 카스미

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 19회 달성할 때마다 21%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49140
Estimated skill score	317 x 17.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 17.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25025
Estimated total score	49140 (estimated non-skill score) + 25161 (estimated skill score) = 74301

Right1

우에하라 아유무

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 19개마다 17%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 332 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35590
Estimated skill score	332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 14.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21385
Estimated total score	35590 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 56977

Right2

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49502
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25480
Estimated total score	49502 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 75351

Right3

미나미 코토리

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 49207
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 26390
Estimated total score	49207 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 75055

Right4

탕 쿠쿠

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 17개마다 16%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 318 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 679 (base note score) x 591.3 (total multiplier) = 35132
Estimated skill score	318 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21351 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 14.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21385
Estimated total score	35132 (estimated non-skill score) + 21351 (estimated skill score) = 56483