Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.1	Lv 80 / SL 5 x102.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x59.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x91.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2

Guest Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Team P	49685 + 6464 (center skill) + 6464 (guest center skill) = 62613
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 483101
Estimated average score	483101 (non-skill score) + 192600 (average skill score) = 675701
Estimated maximum score	483101 (non-skill score) + 684801 (maximum skill score) = 1167902
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 483308 (non-skill score) + 193145 (skills score) = 676453 Percentile 10: 483308 (non-skill score) + 164485 (skills score) = 647793 Percentile 50: 483308 (non-skill score) + 191885 (skills score) = 675193 Percentile 90: 483308 (non-skill score) + 223851 (skills score) = 707159 Percentile 95: 483308 (non-skill score) + 232760 (skills score) = 716068 Percentile 99: 483308 (non-skill score) + 250016 (skills score) = 733324 Percentile 99.5: 483308 (non-skill score) + 254748 (skills score) = 738056

Center

南琴梨

Center Skill	Cool屬性的Cool P提升13%
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 53894
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	53894 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 79743

Left4

松浦果南

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	每達成15次PERFECT就會有19%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加289
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54233
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 26390
Estimated total score	54233 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 80082

Left3

櫻小路希奈子

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	每達成27次COMBO就會有37%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加249
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54473
Estimated skill score	249 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22388 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 20% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22750
Estimated total score	54473 (estimated non-skill score) + 22388 (estimated skill score) = 76860

Left2

黛雅

Stats	Level 80	3463 3247 4974
Skill	Level 5	每達成26次COMBO就會有50%的機率在3秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加111
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 48362
Estimated skill score	111 x 19.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 9768 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 19.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 9555
Estimated total score	48362 (estimated non-skill score) + 9768 (estimated skill score) = 58130

Left1

園田海未

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	每13個節奏圖示會有38%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加116
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54395
Estimated skill score	116 x 42.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22413 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 42.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22750
Estimated total score	54395 (estimated non-skill score) + 22413 (estimated skill score) = 76808

Right1

嵐千砂都

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	每19個節奏圖示會有17%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加332
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54326
Estimated skill score	332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 13.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 20930
Estimated total score	54326 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 75712

Right2

米女芽衣

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	每15個節奏圖示會有22%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加211
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54550
Estimated skill score	211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 22.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21840
Estimated total score	54550 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 76298

Right3

葉月戀

Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	每達成18次PERFECT就會有41%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加163
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54511
Estimated skill score	163 x 34.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25816 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 35.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	54511 (estimated non-skill score) + 25816 (estimated skill score) = 80327

Right4

櫻坂雫

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	每14.2秒會有33%的機率在4秒內讓節奏圖示的分數增加439
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54357
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 17384 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 17290
Estimated total score	54357 (estimated non-skill score) + 17384 (estimated skill score) = 71741