Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.1	Lv 80 / SL 5 x102.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x59.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x91.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2

Guest Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Team P	49685 + 6464 (center skill) + 6464 (guest center skill) = 62613
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 483101
Estimated average score	483101 (non-skill score) + 192600 (average skill score) = 675701
Estimated maximum score	483101 (non-skill score) + 684801 (maximum skill score) = 1167902
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 483308 (non-skill score) + 192067 (skills score) = 675375 Percentile 10: 483308 (non-skill score) + 162075 (skills score) = 645383 Percentile 50: 483308 (non-skill score) + 191197 (skills score) = 674505 Percentile 90: 483308 (non-skill score) + 223555 (skills score) = 706863 Percentile 95: 483308 (non-skill score) + 233695 (skills score) = 717003 Percentile 99: 483308 (non-skill score) + 250664 (skills score) = 733972 Percentile 99.5: 483308 (non-skill score) + 255999 (skills score) = 739307

Center

Kotori Minami

Center Skill	Increases Cool Pts for Cool Attribute characters by 13%.
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 53894
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25480
Estimated total score	53894 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 79743

Left4

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 PERFECTs you get, there is a 19% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 289 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54233
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	54233 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 80082

Left3

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	Every time you get a 27 combo, there is a 37% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 249 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54473
Estimated skill score	249 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22388 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 19.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22295
Estimated total score	54473 (estimated non-skill score) + 22388 (estimated skill score) = 76860

Left2

Dia

Stats	Level 80	3463 3247 4974
Skill	Level 5	Every time you get a 26 combo, there is a 50% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 111 for 3s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 48362
Estimated skill score	111 x 19.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 9768 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 19.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 10010
Estimated total score	48362 (estimated non-skill score) + 9768 (estimated skill score) = 58130

Left1

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	For every 13 rhythm icons, there is a 38% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 116 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54395
Estimated skill score	116 x 42.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22413 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 42.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22295
Estimated total score	54395 (estimated non-skill score) + 22413 (estimated skill score) = 76808

Right1

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	For every 19 rhythm icons, there is a 17% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 332 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54326
Estimated skill score	332 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21386 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 14% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21385
Estimated total score	54326 (estimated non-skill score) + 21386 (estimated skill score) = 75712

Right2

Mei Yoneme

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	For every 15 rhythm icons, there is a 22% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 211 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54550
Estimated skill score	211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 22.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 21385
Estimated total score	54550 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 76298

Right3

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	For every 18 PERFECTs you get, there is a 41% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 163 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54511
Estimated skill score	163 x 34.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25816 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 34.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	54511 (estimated non-skill score) + 25816 (estimated skill score) = 80327

Right4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chanceof your rhythm icon score being raised by 439 for 4s.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 783 (base note score) x 617 (total multiplier) = 54357
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 17384 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 17745
Estimated total score	54357 (estimated non-skill score) + 17384 (estimated skill score) = 71741