Atarashii Chance

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x93.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x59.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x91.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2

Guest Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Team P	49993 + 6504 (center skill) + 6504 (guest center skill) = 63001
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 478820
Estimated average score	478820 (non-skill score) + 219991 (average skill score) = 698811
Estimated maximum score	478820 (non-skill score) + 805050 (maximum skill score) = 1283870
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 479085 (non-skill score) + 221367 (skills score) = 700452 Percentile 10: 479085 (non-skill score) + 188433 (skills score) = 667518 Percentile 50: 479085 (non-skill score) + 221865 (skills score) = 700950 Percentile 90: 479085 (non-skill score) + 253192 (skills score) = 732277 Percentile 95: 479085 (non-skill score) + 264404 (skills score) = 743489 Percentile 99: 479085 (non-skill score) + 284507 (skills score) = 763592 Percentile 99.5: 479085 (non-skill score) + 287784 (skills score) = 766869

Center

하즈키 렌

Center Skill	쿨 속성의 쿨 P가 13% 업
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 18회 달성할 때마다 41%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 163 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53695
Estimated skill score	163 x 34.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25816 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 35.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	53695 (estimated non-skill score) + 25816 (estimated skill score) = 79511

Left4

요네메 메이

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 15개마다 22%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 211 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53733
Estimated skill score	211 x 22.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 21748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22295
Estimated total score	53733 (estimated non-skill score) + 21748 (estimated skill score) = 75481

Left3

미야시타 아이

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로4초간 리듬 아이콘 스코어가 289 상승한다.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 52054
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	52054 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 77903

Left2

마츠우라 카난

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53422
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 25935
Estimated total score	53422 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 79271

Left1

오니츠카 토마리

Stats	Level 100	3953 3870 5489
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 22회 달성할 때마다 31%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 248 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 52571
Estimated skill score	248 x 22.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 24920 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	248 x 21.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 24570
Estimated total score	52571 (estimated non-skill score) + 24920 (estimated skill score) = 77490

Right1

소노다 우미

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	리듬 아이콘 13개마다 38%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 116 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53581
Estimated skill score	116 x 42.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22413 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 43.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22750
Estimated total score	53581 (estimated non-skill score) + 22413 (estimated skill score) = 75994

Right2

미나미 코토리

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 15회 달성할 때마다 19%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 289 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53087
Estimated skill score	289 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25849 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 20.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 26390
Estimated total score	53087 (estimated non-skill score) + 25849 (estimated skill score) = 78936

Right3

나카스 카스미

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	PERFECT를 19회 달성할 때마다 21%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 317 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53019
Estimated skill score	317 x 17.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 25161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 24570
Estimated total score	53019 (estimated non-skill score) + 25161 (estimated skill score) = 78180

Right4

사쿠라코지 키나코

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	콤보를 27회 달성할 때마다 37%의 확률로 4초간 리듬 아이콘의 점수가 249 늘어납니다
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 607.6 (total multiplier) = 53657
Estimated skill score	249 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 455 = 22388 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 20% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 455 = 22750
Estimated total score	53657 (estimated non-skill score) + 22388 (estimated skill score) = 76045