Mermaid festa vol.1

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x100.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x122.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x152.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x156.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x36.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x178.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x176.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x136.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x101.6

Guest Center Skill	Cool P increased by 10%
Team P	45064 + 4510 (center skill) + 4510 (guest center skill) = 54084
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 785507
Estimated average score	785507 (non-skill score) + 652057 (average skill score) = 1437564
Estimated maximum score	785507 (non-skill score) + 2238311 (maximum skill score) = 3023818
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 785935 (non-skill score) + 651022 (skills score) = 1436957 Percentile 10: 785935 (non-skill score) + 565480 (skills score) = 1351415 Percentile 50: 785935 (non-skill score) + 651104 (skills score) = 1437039 Percentile 90: 785935 (non-skill score) + 732771 (skills score) = 1518706 Percentile 95: 785935 (non-skill score) + 755672 (skills score) = 1541607 Percentile 99: 785935 (non-skill score) + 804823 (skills score) = 1590758 Percentile 99.5: 785935 (non-skill score) + 827166 (skills score) = 1613101

Center

Chisato Arashi

Center Skill	Cool P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 97382
Estimated skill score	332 x 23.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 65570 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 65175
Estimated total score	97382 (estimated non-skill score) + 65570 (estimated skill score) = 162952

Left4

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 68988
Estimated skill score	318 x 25% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 65532 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 24.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 64350
Estimated total score	68988 (estimated non-skill score) + 65532 (estimated skill score) = 134520

Left3

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 69889
Estimated skill score	332 x 23.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 65570 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 24% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 66000
Estimated total score	69889 (estimated non-skill score) + 65570 (estimated skill score) = 135458

Left2

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 97208
Estimated skill score	289 x 32.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 78131 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 32.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 77550
Estimated total score	97208 (estimated non-skill score) + 78131 (estimated skill score) = 175339

Left1

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 96496
Estimated skill score	317 x 29.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 76192 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 28.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 75075
Estimated total score	96496 (estimated non-skill score) + 76192 (estimated skill score) = 172688

Right1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 96627
Estimated skill score	289 x 32.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 78131 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 32.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 77550
Estimated total score	96627 (estimated non-skill score) + 78131 (estimated skill score) = 174758

Right2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	3940 3944 5506
Skill	Level 9	Every 28 combo, there is a 30% chance of increasing the score of each note by 314 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 95974
Estimated skill score	314 x 26.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 68606 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	314 x 26.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 68475
Estimated total score	95974 (estimated non-skill score) + 68606 (estimated skill score) = 164579

Right3

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 94739
Estimated skill score	289 x 32.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 78131 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 79200
Estimated total score	94739 (estimated non-skill score) + 78131 (estimated skill score) = 172870

Right4

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 677 (base note score) x 1160.3 (total multiplier) = 68204
Estimated skill score	337 x 27.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 825 = 76196 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 27.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 825 = 76725
Estimated total score	68204 (estimated non-skill score) + 76196 (estimated skill score) = 144400