Mermaid festa vol.2 ～Passionate～

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x62.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x72.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x65.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48763 + 6342 (center skill) + 6342 (guest center skill) = 61447
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 327949
Estimated average score	327949 (non-skill score) + 74897 (average skill score) = 402846
Estimated maximum score	327949 (non-skill score) + 243760 (maximum skill score) = 571709
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 328125 (non-skill score) + 74718 (skills score) = 402843 Percentile 10: 328125 (non-skill score) + 61053 (skills score) = 389178 Percentile 50: 328125 (non-skill score) + 74207 (skills score) = 402332 Percentile 90: 328125 (non-skill score) + 89883 (skills score) = 418008 Percentile 95: 328125 (non-skill score) + 93434 (skills score) = 421559 Percentile 99: 328125 (non-skill score) + 102364 (skills score) = 430489 Percentile 99.5: 328125 (non-skill score) + 103478 (skills score) = 431603

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 37173
Estimated skill score	266 x 12.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 9839 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 12.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 9867
Estimated total score	37173 (estimated non-skill score) + 9839 (estimated skill score) = 47012

Left4

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5229 3943 3828
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 135 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 35166
Estimated skill score	135 x 19.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 7804 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	135 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 7774
Estimated total score	35166 (estimated non-skill score) + 7804 (estimated skill score) = 42971

Left3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 35993
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 10071 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 10166
Estimated total score	35993 (estimated non-skill score) + 10071 (estimated skill score) = 46064

Left2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5361 3710 4059
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 36052
Estimated skill score	128 x 16.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 6349 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 16.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 6279
Estimated total score	36052 (estimated non-skill score) + 6349 (estimated skill score) = 42401

Left1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5223 3932 3949
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 35123
Estimated skill score	140 x 19.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 8190 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 19.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 8372
Estimated total score	35123 (estimated non-skill score) + 8190 (estimated skill score) = 43313

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 37733
Estimated skill score	332 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 9821 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 9.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 9568
Estimated total score	37733 (estimated non-skill score) + 9821 (estimated skill score) = 47554

Right2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 37653
Estimated skill score	198 x 17.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 10098 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 10166
Estimated total score	37653 (estimated non-skill score) + 10098 (estimated skill score) = 47751

Right3

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 37173
Estimated skill score	143 x 15% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 6426 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 15% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 6279
Estimated total score	37173 (estimated non-skill score) + 6426 (estimated skill score) = 43599

Right4

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5335 3829 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 notes, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 127 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 426.5 (total multiplier) = 35881
Estimated skill score	127 x 16.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 299 = 6299 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	127 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 299 = 6279
Estimated total score	35881 (estimated non-skill score) + 6299 (estimated skill score) = 42181