Mermaid festa vol.2 ～Passionate～

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x76.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x105.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x74.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x77.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x103.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x76.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48763 + 6342 (center skill) + 6342 (guest center skill) = 61447
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 500290
Estimated average score	500290 (non-skill score) + 151278 (average skill score) = 651568
Estimated maximum score	500290 (non-skill score) + 493330 (maximum skill score) = 993620
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 500518 (non-skill score) + 150540 (skills score) = 651058 Percentile 10: 500518 (non-skill score) + 128447 (skills score) = 628965 Percentile 50: 500518 (non-skill score) + 149864 (skills score) = 650382 Percentile 90: 500518 (non-skill score) + 173247 (skills score) = 673765 Percentile 95: 500518 (non-skill score) + 180652 (skills score) = 681170 Percentile 99: 500518 (non-skill score) + 196628 (skills score) = 697146 Percentile 99.5: 500518 (non-skill score) + 197960 (skills score) = 698478

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 56708
Estimated skill score	266 x 17.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 20110 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 19935
Estimated total score	56708 (estimated non-skill score) + 20110 (estimated skill score) = 76817

Left4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 57563
Estimated skill score	332 x 13.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 20449 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 13.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 20378
Estimated total score	57563 (estimated non-skill score) + 20449 (estimated skill score) = 78012

Left3

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5335 3829 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 notes, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 127 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 54737
Estimated skill score	127 x 24.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 13543 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	127 x 24.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 13733
Estimated total score	54737 (estimated non-skill score) + 13543 (estimated skill score) = 68281

Left2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 57441
Estimated skill score	198 x 24.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 21138 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 20821
Estimated total score	57441 (estimated non-skill score) + 21138 (estimated skill score) = 78579

Left1

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5229 3943 3828
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 135 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 53646
Estimated skill score	135 x 28.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 17132 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	135 x 28.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 16834
Estimated total score	53646 (estimated non-skill score) + 17132 (estimated skill score) = 70778

Right1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5361 3710 4059
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 54998
Estimated skill score	128 x 23.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 13381 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 23.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 13290
Estimated total score	54998 (estimated non-skill score) + 13381 (estimated skill score) = 68379

Right2

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 56708
Estimated skill score	143 x 21.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 13694 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 21.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 13733
Estimated total score	56708 (estimated non-skill score) + 13694 (estimated skill score) = 70401

Right3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 54908
Estimated skill score	124 x 26.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 14687 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 26.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 14619
Estimated total score	54908 (estimated non-skill score) + 14687 (estimated skill score) = 69595

Right4

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5223 3932 3949
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 650.6 (total multiplier) = 53581
Estimated skill score	140 x 27.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 443 = 17144 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 27.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 443 = 16834
Estimated total score	53581 (estimated non-skill score) + 17144 (estimated skill score) = 70726