Mermaid festa vol.2 ～Passionate～

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x96.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x109.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x154.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x116.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x116.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x139.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x126.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x79.7

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48763 + 6342 (center skill) + 6342 (guest center skill) = 61447
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 742767
Estimated average score	742767 (non-skill score) + 307041 (average skill score) = 1049808
Estimated maximum score	742767 (non-skill score) + 923239 (maximum skill score) = 1666006
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 743142 (non-skill score) + 308818 (skills score) = 1051960 Percentile 10: 743142 (non-skill score) + 268867 (skills score) = 1012009 Percentile 50: 743142 (non-skill score) + 307924 (skills score) = 1051066 Percentile 90: 743142 (non-skill score) + 348514 (skills score) = 1091656 Percentile 95: 743142 (non-skill score) + 357340 (skills score) = 1100482 Percentile 99: 743142 (non-skill score) + 372801 (skills score) = 1115943 Percentile 99.5: 743142 (non-skill score) + 376850 (skills score) = 1119992

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 84193
Estimated skill score	266 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 42726 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 25.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 43483
Estimated total score	84193 (estimated non-skill score) + 42726 (estimated skill score) = 126918

Left4

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5223 3932 3949
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 79551
Estimated skill score	140 x 38.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 35122 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 38.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 35046
Estimated total score	79551 (estimated non-skill score) + 35122 (estimated skill score) = 114673

Left3

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5229 3943 3828
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 135 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 79647
Estimated skill score	135 x 40.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 35122 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	135 x 40.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 35046
Estimated total score	79647 (estimated non-skill score) + 35122 (estimated skill score) = 114770

Left2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 85280
Estimated skill score	198 x 33.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 43526 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 42834
Estimated total score	85280 (estimated non-skill score) + 43526 (estimated skill score) = 128807

Left1

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	5335 3829 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 notes, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 127 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 81267
Estimated skill score	127 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 27460 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	127 x 33.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 27258
Estimated total score	81267 (estimated non-skill score) + 27460 (estimated skill score) = 108727

Right1

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 81521
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 22426 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 22066
Estimated total score	81521 (estimated non-skill score) + 22426 (estimated skill score) = 103947

Right2

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 84193
Estimated skill score	143 x 33.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 30969 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 31152
Estimated total score	84193 (estimated non-skill score) + 30969 (estimated skill score) = 115162

Right3

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	5361 3710 4059
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 81654
Estimated skill score	128 x 32.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 27314 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 33.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 27907
Estimated total score	81654 (estimated non-skill score) + 27314 (estimated skill score) = 108968

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 769 (base note score) x 965.9 (total multiplier) = 85462
Estimated skill score	332 x 19.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 649 = 42375 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 20.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 649 = 43483
Estimated total score	85462 (estimated non-skill score) + 42375 (estimated skill score) = 127837