Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x97.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x75.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x92.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x67.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x72	Lv 100 / SL 9 x79.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x78	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80

Guest Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Team P	40000 + 4005 (center skill) + 4005 (guest center skill) = 48010
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 397704
Estimated average score	397704 (non-skill score) + 278775 (average skill score) = 676479
Estimated maximum score	397704 (non-skill score) + 1295599 (maximum skill score) = 1693303
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 398059 (non-skill score) + 277694 (skills score) = 675753 Percentile 10: 398059 (non-skill score) + 232248 (skills score) = 630307 Percentile 50: 398059 (non-skill score) + 278740 (skills score) = 676799 Percentile 90: 398059 (non-skill score) + 322003 (skills score) = 720062 Percentile 95: 398059 (non-skill score) + 335568 (skills score) = 733627 Percentile 99: 398059 (non-skill score) + 358632 (skills score) = 756691 Percentile 99.5: 398059 (non-skill score) + 366219 (skills score) = 764278

Center

Karin Asaka

Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 55294
Estimated skill score	337 x 17.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 31193 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 18% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 31842
Estimated total score	55294 (estimated non-skill score) + 31193 (estimated skill score) = 86487

Left4

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 54516
Estimated skill score	318 x 16.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 27406 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 27666
Estimated total score	54516 (estimated non-skill score) + 27406 (estimated skill score) = 81922

Left3

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 39257
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 32863 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 32886
Estimated total score	39257 (estimated non-skill score) + 32863 (estimated skill score) = 72120

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 55402
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 32863 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 32364
Estimated total score	55402 (estimated non-skill score) + 32863 (estimated skill score) = 88265

Left1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 38238
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 32863 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 32886
Estimated total score	38238 (estimated non-skill score) + 32863 (estimated skill score) = 71101

Right1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 38810
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 32863 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 32364
Estimated total score	38810 (estimated non-skill score) + 32863 (estimated skill score) = 71673

Right2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 38395
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 27939 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 16.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 28188
Estimated total score	38395 (estimated non-skill score) + 27939 (estimated skill score) = 66335

Right3

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 38760
Estimated skill score	317 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 32845 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 19.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 32364
Estimated total score	38760 (estimated non-skill score) + 32845 (estimated skill score) = 71605

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 661.7 (total multiplier) = 39033
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 522 = 27939 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 15.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 522 = 27666
Estimated total score	39033 (estimated non-skill score) + 27939 (estimated skill score) = 66973