RUN KAKERU RUN

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x41.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x54.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x60.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x57.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x30.9

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48489 + 6309 (center skill) + 6309 (guest center skill) = 61107
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 337466
Estimated average score	337466 (non-skill score) + 86180 (average skill score) = 423646
Estimated maximum score	337466 (non-skill score) + 296570 (maximum skill score) = 634036
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 337659 (non-skill score) + 85961 (skills score) = 423620 Percentile 10: 337659 (non-skill score) + 68739 (skills score) = 406398 Percentile 50: 337659 (non-skill score) + 86129 (skills score) = 423788 Percentile 90: 337659 (non-skill score) + 103295 (skills score) = 440954 Percentile 95: 337659 (non-skill score) + 106863 (skills score) = 444522 Percentile 99: 337659 (non-skill score) + 117201 (skills score) = 454860 Percentile 99.5: 337659 (non-skill score) + 121017 (skills score) = 458676

Center

Chisato Arashi

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 174 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 37813
Estimated skill score	174 x 16.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 8952 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 15.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 8586
Estimated total score	37813 (estimated non-skill score) + 8952 (estimated skill score) = 46765

Left4

Dia Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5226 3973 3853
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 36372
Estimated skill score	124 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 8415 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 8268
Estimated total score	36372 (estimated non-skill score) + 8415 (estimated skill score) = 44786

Left3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 37012
Estimated skill score	128 x 20.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 8233 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 20.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 8268
Estimated total score	37012 (estimated non-skill score) + 8233 (estimated skill score) = 45245

Left2

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 38476
Estimated skill score	210 x 22.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 15120 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 15264
Estimated total score	38476 (estimated non-skill score) + 15120 (estimated skill score) = 53596

Left1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	5216 3791 4045
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 43.6% chance of recovering 5 stamina.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 36305

Right1

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 36543
Estimated skill score	129 x 23.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 9465 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 23.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 9540
Estimated total score	36543 (estimated non-skill score) + 9465 (estimated skill score) = 46008

Right2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 38465
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 12928 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 15.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 12720
Estimated total score	38465 (estimated non-skill score) + 12928 (estimated skill score) = 51392

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 37437
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 10594 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 10494
Estimated total score	37437 (estimated non-skill score) + 10594 (estimated skill score) = 48031

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 441.7 (total multiplier) = 39044
Estimated skill score	332 x 11.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 318 = 12473 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 11.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 318 = 12402
Estimated total score	39044 (estimated non-skill score) + 12473 (estimated skill score) = 51518