New winding road

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x37	Lv 100 / SL 9 x49.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56	Lv 100 / SL 9 x12.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x41

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	37260 + 3729 (center skill) + 3729 (guest center skill) = 44718
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 210522
Estimated average score	210522 (non-skill score) + 98981 (average skill score) = 309503
Estimated maximum score	210522 (non-skill score) + 523359 (maximum skill score) = 733881
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 210610 (non-skill score) + 99632 (skills score) = 310242 Percentile 10: 210610 (non-skill score) + 78226 (skills score) = 288836 Percentile 50: 210610 (non-skill score) + 99351 (skills score) = 309961 Percentile 90: 210610 (non-skill score) + 120321 (skills score) = 330931 Percentile 95: 210610 (non-skill score) + 126555 (skills score) = 337165 Percentile 99: 210610 (non-skill score) + 138424 (skills score) = 349034 Percentile 99.5: 210610 (non-skill score) + 143711 (skills score) = 354321

Center

Ayumu Uehara

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	20 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 31693
Estimated skill score	332 x 9.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 9425 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 9.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 9424
Estimated total score	31693 (estimated non-skill score) + 9425 (estimated skill score) = 41118

Left4

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22348
Estimated skill score	317 x 11.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11117 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 11.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 10944
Estimated total score	22348 (estimated non-skill score) + 11117 (estimated skill score) = 33465

Left3

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22856
Estimated skill score	244 x 16% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11888 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 15.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 11856
Estimated total score	22856 (estimated non-skill score) + 11888 (estimated skill score) = 34744

Left2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22611
Estimated skill score	289 x 13.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11915 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 12160
Estimated total score	22611 (estimated non-skill score) + 11915 (estimated skill score) = 34527

Left1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22145
Estimated skill score	289 x 13.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11915 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 12160
Estimated total score	22145 (estimated non-skill score) + 11915 (estimated skill score) = 34061

Right1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22531
Estimated skill score	289 x 13.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11915 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 12160
Estimated total score	22531 (estimated non-skill score) + 11915 (estimated skill score) = 34447

Right2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 22710
Estimated skill score	332 x 9.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 9425 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 9424
Estimated total score	22710 (estimated non-skill score) + 9425 (estimated skill score) = 32136

Right3

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 21877
Estimated skill score	318 x 9.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 9464 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 10% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 9728
Estimated total score	21877 (estimated non-skill score) + 9464 (estimated skill score) = 31341

Right4

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 559 (base note score) x 376.6 (total multiplier) = 21750
Estimated skill score	289 x 13.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 304 = 11915 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 304 = 11856
Estimated total score	21750 (estimated non-skill score) + 11915 (estimated skill score) = 33665