New winding road

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x58.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x72.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x95.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x91.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20	Lv 100 / SL 9 x97.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x92.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x71.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x66.4

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48489 + 6309 (center skill) + 6309 (guest center skill) = 61107
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 508872
Estimated average score	508872 (non-skill score) + 134771 (average skill score) = 643643
Estimated maximum score	508872 (non-skill score) + 469138 (maximum skill score) = 978010
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 509139 (non-skill score) + 133398 (skills score) = 642537 Percentile 10: 509139 (non-skill score) + 112010 (skills score) = 621149 Percentile 50: 509139 (non-skill score) + 133059 (skills score) = 642198 Percentile 90: 509139 (non-skill score) + 155674 (skills score) = 664813 Percentile 95: 509139 (non-skill score) + 165027 (skills score) = 674166 Percentile 99: 509139 (non-skill score) + 173873 (skills score) = 683012 Percentile 99.5: 509139 (non-skill score) + 178208 (skills score) = 687347

Center

Chisato Arashi

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 174 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 57019
Estimated skill score	174 x 17% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 13398 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 13620
Estimated total score	57019 (estimated non-skill score) + 13398 (estimated skill score) = 70417

Left4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 58876
Estimated skill score	332 x 13.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 20939 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 13.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 20430
Estimated total score	58876 (estimated non-skill score) + 20939 (estimated skill score) = 79815

Left3

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 55104
Estimated skill score	129 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 14052 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 14074
Estimated total score	55104 (estimated non-skill score) + 14052 (estimated skill score) = 69155

Left2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 58002
Estimated skill score	266 x 16.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 20397 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 16.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 20430
Estimated total score	58002 (estimated non-skill score) + 20397 (estimated skill score) = 78398

Left1

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 55811
Estimated skill score	128 x 23.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 13476 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 13166
Estimated total score	55811 (estimated non-skill score) + 13476 (estimated skill score) = 69287

Right1

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 58018
Estimated skill score	210 x 25% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 23856 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 25% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 24062
Estimated total score	58018 (estimated non-skill score) + 23856 (estimated skill score) = 81874

Right2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 56453
Estimated skill score	152 x 21% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 14506 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 14074
Estimated total score	56453 (estimated non-skill score) + 14506 (estimated skill score) = 70959

Right3

Dia Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5226 3973 3853
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 54845
Estimated skill score	124 x 25.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 454 = 14147 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 24.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 454 = 14074
Estimated total score	54845 (estimated non-skill score) + 14147 (estimated skill score) = 68993

Right4

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	5216 3791 4045
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 43.6% chance of recovering 5 stamina.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 666.1 (total multiplier) = 54745