Guilty Night, Guilty Kiss!

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x76.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x93.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x97.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x78.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x78.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x98.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x95.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x77.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48858 + 6356 (center skill) + 6356 (guest center skill) = 61570
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 553239
Estimated average score	553239 (non-skill score) + 238485 (average skill score) = 791724
Estimated maximum score	553239 (non-skill score) + 747477 (maximum skill score) = 1300716
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 553544 (non-skill score) + 239588 (skills score) = 793132 Percentile 10: 553544 (non-skill score) + 203685 (skills score) = 757229 Percentile 50: 553544 (non-skill score) + 240759 (skills score) = 794303 Percentile 90: 553544 (non-skill score) + 273840 (skills score) = 827384 Percentile 95: 553544 (non-skill score) + 284040 (skills score) = 837584 Percentile 99: 553544 (non-skill score) + 306115 (skills score) = 859659 Percentile 99.5: 553544 (non-skill score) + 319565 (skills score) = 873109

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 62584
Estimated skill score	266 x 24.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 32917 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 24.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 33330
Estimated total score	62584 (estimated non-skill score) + 32917 (estimated skill score) = 95501

Left4

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 62584
Estimated skill score	143 x 30.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 22257 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 31% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 22220
Estimated total score	62584 (estimated non-skill score) + 22257 (estimated skill score) = 84841

Left3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5118 4254 4096
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 178 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 57957
Estimated skill score	178 x 25.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 23188 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	178 x 26.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 23735
Estimated total score	57957 (estimated non-skill score) + 23188 (estimated skill score) = 81144

Left2

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 60221
Estimated skill score	128 x 32.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 20926 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 32.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 20705
Estimated total score	60221 (estimated non-skill score) + 20926 (estimated skill score) = 81147

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 63528
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 31492 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 31815
Estimated total score	63528 (estimated non-skill score) + 31492 (estimated skill score) = 95020

Right1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 63393
Estimated skill score	198 x 32.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 32674 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 32.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 32320
Estimated total score	63393 (estimated non-skill score) + 32674 (estimated skill score) = 96067

Right2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 60913
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 15530 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 15655
Estimated total score	60913 (estimated non-skill score) + 15530 (estimated skill score) = 76442

Right3

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 59457
Estimated skill score	129 x 32.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 21230 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 33% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 21715
Estimated total score	59457 (estimated non-skill score) + 21230 (estimated skill score) = 80688

Right4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 718.5 (total multiplier) = 62602
Estimated skill score	210 x 36.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 505 = 38270 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 36.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 505 = 38380
Estimated total score	62602 (estimated non-skill score) + 38270 (estimated skill score) = 100873