Believe again

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x9.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x25.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43	Lv 100 / SL 9 x35.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1

Guest Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Team P	50247 + 6537 (center skill) + 6537 (guest center skill) = 63321
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 216318
Estimated average score	216318 (non-skill score) + 45815 (average skill score) = 262133
Estimated maximum score	216318 (non-skill score) + 183471 (maximum skill score) = 399789
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 216416 (non-skill score) + 45582 (skills score) = 261998 Percentile 10: 216416 (non-skill score) + 34483 (skills score) = 250899 Percentile 50: 216416 (non-skill score) + 45589 (skills score) = 262005 Percentile 90: 216416 (non-skill score) + 56610 (skills score) = 273026 Percentile 95: 216416 (non-skill score) + 59967 (skills score) = 276383 Percentile 99: 216416 (non-skill score) + 65772 (skills score) = 282188 Percentile 99.5: 216416 (non-skill score) + 67763 (skills score) = 284179

Center

Kotori Minami

Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 23862
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 5162 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 5200
Estimated total score	23862 (estimated non-skill score) + 5162 (estimated skill score) = 29024

Left4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chance of increasing the score of each note by 439 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24067
Estimated skill score	439 x 8.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 7678 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 7696
Estimated total score	24067 (estimated non-skill score) + 7678 (estimated skill score) = 31745

Left3

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 249 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24119
Estimated skill score	249 x 7.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 3962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 7.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 3952
Estimated total score	24119 (estimated non-skill score) + 3962 (estimated skill score) = 28080

Left2

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24136
Estimated skill score	163 x 15.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 5213 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 15.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 5200
Estimated total score	24136 (estimated non-skill score) + 5213 (estimated skill score) = 29348

Left1

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 23832
Estimated skill score	317 x 7.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 5126 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 7.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 4992
Estimated total score	23832 (estimated non-skill score) + 5126 (estimated skill score) = 28957

Right1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24013
Estimated skill score	289 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 5162 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 8.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 5200
Estimated total score	24013 (estimated non-skill score) + 5162 (estimated skill score) = 29174

Right2

Mei Yoneme

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 notes, there is a 22% chance of increasing the score of each note by 211 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24153
Estimated skill score	211 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 4363 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 9.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 4368
Estimated total score	24153 (estimated non-skill score) + 4363 (estimated skill score) = 28516

Right3

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24084
Estimated skill score	116 x 19.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 4805 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 4784
Estimated total score	24084 (estimated non-skill score) + 4805 (estimated skill score) = 28889

Right4

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 792 (base note score) x 273.1 (total multiplier) = 24054
Estimated skill score	332 x 6.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 208 = 4346 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 6.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 208 = 4576
Estimated total score	24054 (estimated non-skill score) + 4346 (estimated skill score) = 28400