Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x31.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x25.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x13.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x31.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.9

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48858 + 6356 (center skill) + 6356 (guest center skill) = 61570
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 181702
Estimated average score	181702 (non-skill score) + 29627 (average skill score) = 211329
Estimated maximum score	181702 (non-skill score) + 97305 (maximum skill score) = 279007
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 181790 (non-skill score) + 29991 (skills score) = 211781 Percentile 10: 181790 (non-skill score) + 22692 (skills score) = 204482 Percentile 50: 181790 (non-skill score) + 29980 (skills score) = 211770 Percentile 90: 181790 (non-skill score) + 37293 (skills score) = 219083 Percentile 95: 181790 (non-skill score) + 38659 (skills score) = 220449 Percentile 99: 181790 (non-skill score) + 42237 (skills score) = 224027 Percentile 99.5: 181790 (non-skill score) + 43988 (skills score) = 225778

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20555
Estimated skill score	266 x 7% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 3232 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 6.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 3132
Estimated total score	20555 (estimated non-skill score) + 3232 (estimated skill score) = 23787

Left4

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20555
Estimated skill score	143 x 10.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 2583 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 10.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 2610
Estimated total score	20555 (estimated non-skill score) + 2583 (estimated skill score) = 23137

Left3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 19779
Estimated skill score	128 x 10.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 2417 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 2436
Estimated total score	19779 (estimated non-skill score) + 2417 (estimated skill score) = 22195

Left2

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5118 4254 4096
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 178 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 19035
Estimated skill score	178 x 7.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 2375 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	178 x 8.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 2610
Estimated total score	19035 (estimated non-skill score) + 2375 (estimated skill score) = 21409

Left1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20820
Estimated skill score	198 x 10.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 3635 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 3654
Estimated total score	20820 (estimated non-skill score) + 3635 (estimated skill score) = 24456

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20865
Estimated skill score	332 x 6.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 3669 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 6.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 3654
Estimated total score	20865 (estimated non-skill score) + 3669 (estimated skill score) = 24533

Right2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20006
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 5538 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 5568
Estimated total score	20006 (estimated non-skill score) + 5538 (estimated skill score) = 25544

Right3

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 19528
Estimated skill score	129 x 10.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 2399 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 2436
Estimated total score	19528 (estimated non-skill score) + 2399 (estimated skill score) = 21927

Right4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 236 (total multiplier) = 20561
Estimated skill score	210 x 10.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 174 = 3780 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 10.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 174 = 3828
Estimated total score	20561 (estimated non-skill score) + 3780 (estimated skill score) = 24341