Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x54.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x66.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	49161 + 6395 (center skill) + 6395 (guest center skill) = 61951
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 300318
Estimated average score	300318 (non-skill score) + 91425 (average skill score) = 391743
Estimated maximum score	300318 (non-skill score) + 291861 (maximum skill score) = 592179
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 300488 (non-skill score) + 91971 (skills score) = 392459 Percentile 10: 300488 (non-skill score) + 76034 (skills score) = 376522 Percentile 50: 300488 (non-skill score) + 91713 (skills score) = 392201 Percentile 90: 300488 (non-skill score) + 108721 (skills score) = 409209 Percentile 95: 300488 (non-skill score) + 112572 (skills score) = 413060 Percentile 99: 300488 (non-skill score) + 122001 (skills score) = 422489 Percentile 99.5: 300488 (non-skill score) + 123053 (skills score) = 423541

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 33764
Estimated skill score	266 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9624 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 12.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	33764 (estimated non-skill score) + 9624 (estimated skill score) = 43388

Left4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 34273
Estimated skill score	332 x 10% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 10.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	34273 (estimated non-skill score) + 9595 (estimated skill score) = 43868

Left3

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 33774
Estimated skill score	210 x 18.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 11256 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 18.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 11600
Estimated total score	33774 (estimated non-skill score) + 11256 (estimated skill score) = 45030

Left2

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 33517
Estimated skill score	197 x 22.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 12868 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 22.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 12760
Estimated total score	33517 (estimated non-skill score) + 12868 (estimated skill score) = 46385

Left1

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 33158
Estimated skill score	252 x 15.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 11360 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 15.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 11310
Estimated total score	33158 (estimated non-skill score) + 11360 (estimated skill score) = 44518

Right1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 34200
Estimated skill score	198 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9896 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 17.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 10150
Estimated total score	34200 (estimated non-skill score) + 9896 (estimated skill score) = 44096

Right2

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 32077
Estimated skill score	129 x 18.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 6918 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 18.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 6960
Estimated total score	32077 (estimated non-skill score) + 6918 (estimated skill score) = 38995

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 32862
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9510 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	32862 (estimated non-skill score) + 9510 (estimated skill score) = 42373

Right4

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 775 (base note score) x 387.5 (total multiplier) = 32693
Estimated skill score	124 x 28.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 10397 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 29% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 10440
Estimated total score	32693 (estimated non-skill score) + 10397 (estimated skill score) = 43090