Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x51.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x60.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x42.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x66.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48858 + 6356 (center skill) + 6356 (guest center skill) = 61570
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 306230
Estimated average score	306230 (non-skill score) + 76431 (average skill score) = 382661
Estimated maximum score	306230 (non-skill score) + 254500 (maximum skill score) = 560730
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 306402 (non-skill score) + 76640 (skills score) = 383042 Percentile 10: 306402 (non-skill score) + 62833 (skills score) = 369235 Percentile 50: 306402 (non-skill score) + 76972 (skills score) = 383374 Percentile 90: 306402 (non-skill score) + 90338 (skills score) = 396740 Percentile 95: 306402 (non-skill score) + 93982 (skills score) = 400384 Percentile 99: 306402 (non-skill score) + 101720 (skills score) = 408122 Percentile 99.5: 306402 (non-skill score) + 104532 (skills score) = 410934

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 34642
Estimated skill score	266 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9624 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 12.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	34642 (estimated non-skill score) + 9624 (estimated skill score) = 44266

Left4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 34652
Estimated skill score	210 x 18.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 11256 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 18.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 11310
Estimated total score	34652 (estimated non-skill score) + 11256 (estimated skill score) = 45908

Left3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5118 4254 4096
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 178 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 32080
Estimated skill score	178 x 13.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 7020 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	178 x 14% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 7250
Estimated total score	32080 (estimated non-skill score) + 7020 (estimated skill score) = 39101

Left2

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 32911
Estimated skill score	129 x 18.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 6918 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 18.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 6960
Estimated total score	32911 (estimated non-skill score) + 6918 (estimated skill score) = 39829

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 35164
Estimated skill score	332 x 10% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 10% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	35164 (estimated non-skill score) + 9595 (estimated skill score) = 44759

Right1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 35089
Estimated skill score	198 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9896 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	35089 (estimated non-skill score) + 9896 (estimated skill score) = 44985

Right2

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 33334
Estimated skill score	128 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 6185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 6090
Estimated total score	33334 (estimated non-skill score) + 6185 (estimated skill score) = 39519

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 33717
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 9510 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 9570
Estimated total score	33717 (estimated non-skill score) + 9510 (estimated skill score) = 43227

Right4

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 397.7 (total multiplier) = 34642
Estimated skill score	143 x 15.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 290 = 6426 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 15.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 290 = 6380
Estimated total score	34642 (estimated non-skill score) + 6426 (estimated skill score) = 41068