Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x60.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x76.5	Lv 100 / SL 7 x2.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x78	Lv 100 / SL 7 x58.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.8	Lv 100 / SL 7 x21.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48558 + 6317 (center skill) + 6317 (guest center skill) = 61192
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 294663
Estimated average score	294663 (non-skill score) + 86777 (average skill score) = 381440
Estimated maximum score	294663 (non-skill score) + 277293 (maximum skill score) = 571956
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 294793 (non-skill score) + 87021 (skills score) = 381814 Percentile 10: 294793 (non-skill score) + 70627 (skills score) = 365420 Percentile 50: 294793 (non-skill score) + 86303 (skills score) = 381096 Percentile 90: 294793 (non-skill score) + 103828 (skills score) = 398621 Percentile 95: 294793 (non-skill score) + 109369 (skills score) = 404162 Percentile 99: 294793 (non-skill score) + 118194 (skills score) = 412987 Percentile 99.5: 294793 (non-skill score) + 122042 (skills score) = 416835

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 7	Every 25 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 262 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 33539
Estimated skill score	262 x 11.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 8277 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	262 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 8246
Estimated total score	33539 (estimated non-skill score) + 8277 (estimated skill score) = 41816

Left4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 32937
Estimated skill score	252 x 15.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 10161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 15% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 10108
Estimated total score	32937 (estimated non-skill score) + 10161 (estimated skill score) = 43098

Left3

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	4907 3619 3824
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 29774
Estimated skill score	163 x 23.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 10359 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 23.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 10374
Estimated total score	29774 (estimated non-skill score) + 10359 (estimated skill score) = 40132

Left2

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 32706
Estimated skill score	138 x 25.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 9375 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 25.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 9310
Estimated total score	32706 (estimated non-skill score) + 9375 (estimated skill score) = 42081

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 34045
Estimated skill score	332 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 8748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 9.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 8512
Estimated total score	34045 (estimated non-skill score) + 8748 (estimated skill score) = 42793

Right1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 33294
Estimated skill score	197 x 23.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 12506 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 23.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 12236
Estimated total score	33294 (estimated non-skill score) + 12506 (estimated skill score) = 45799

Right2

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 7	Every 28 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 315 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 33010
Estimated skill score	315 x 10.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 8467 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	315 x 10.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 8778
Estimated total score	33010 (estimated non-skill score) + 8467 (estimated skill score) = 41477

Right3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	5242 4067 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 40.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 165 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 31811
Estimated skill score	165 x 21.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 9245 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	165 x 21.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 9576
Estimated total score	31811 (estimated non-skill score) + 9245 (estimated skill score) = 41055

Right4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 7	Every 25 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 206 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 765 (base note score) x 385.2 (total multiplier) = 33549
Estimated skill score	206 x 17.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 266 = 9641 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	206 x 17.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 266 = 9842
Estimated total score	33549 (estimated non-skill score) + 9641 (estimated skill score) = 43190