Poker face＆お願い！Fairy

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x16	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x9.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.8	Lv 100 / SL 7 x32.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.5

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	47997 + 6244 (center skill) + 6244 (guest center skill) = 60485
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 142014
Estimated average score	142014 (non-skill score) + 34133 (average skill score) = 176147
Estimated maximum score	142014 (non-skill score) + 88937 (maximum skill score) = 230951
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 142051 (non-skill score) + 34218 (skills score) = 176269 Percentile 10: 142051 (non-skill score) + 28046 (skills score) = 170097 Percentile 50: 142051 (non-skill score) + 34285 (skills score) = 176336 Percentile 90: 142051 (non-skill score) + 40791 (skills score) = 182842 Percentile 95: 142051 (non-skill score) + 42477 (skills score) = 184528 Percentile 99: 142051 (non-skill score) + 45094 (skills score) = 187145 Percentile 99.5: 142051 (non-skill score) + 46570 (skills score) = 188621

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 16532
Estimated skill score	159 x 9.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2167 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2190
Estimated total score	16532 (estimated non-skill score) + 2167 (estimated skill score) = 18699

Left4

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	3771 4728 3851
Skill	Level 9	Every 7 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 181 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 13989
Estimated skill score	181 x 22.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5869 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	181 x 22% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5840
Estimated total score	13989 (estimated non-skill score) + 5869 (estimated skill score) = 19858

Left3

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 16506
Estimated skill score	234 x 6% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2048 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 5.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2044
Estimated total score	16506 (estimated non-skill score) + 2048 (estimated skill score) = 18553

Left2

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 16466
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5630 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5548
Estimated total score	16466 (estimated non-skill score) + 5630 (estimated skill score) = 22096

Left1

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 16626
Estimated skill score	244 x 7.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2752 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 7.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2774
Estimated total score	16626 (estimated non-skill score) + 2752 (estimated skill score) = 19378

Right1

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	4257 5030 3869
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 40.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 165 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 14881
Estimated skill score	165 x 18.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 4555 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	165 x 19.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 4672
Estimated total score	14881 (estimated non-skill score) + 4555 (estimated skill score) = 19437

Right2

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	3853 5442 3939
Skill	Level 9	Every 15.2 seconds, there is a 58% chance of increasing the score of each note by 217 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 16102
Estimated skill score	217 x 14.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 4531 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	217 x 14.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 4526
Estimated total score	16102 (estimated non-skill score) + 4531 (estimated skill score) = 20633

Right3

Setsuna Yuuki

Stats	Level 100	3708 5372 4024
Skill	Level 7	Every 27 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 121 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 15896
Estimated skill score	121 x 7.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 1365 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	121 x 8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 1460
Estimated total score	15896 (estimated non-skill score) + 1365 (estimated skill score) = 17260

Right4

Chika Takami

Stats	Level 100	4071 5076 3879
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 757 (base note score) x 187.6 (total multiplier) = 15017
Estimated skill score	111 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5216 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 32.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5256
Estimated total score	15017 (estimated non-skill score) + 5216 (estimated skill score) = 20234