Poker face＆お願い！Fairy

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x16	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.1	Lv 100 / SL 7 x9.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.5

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	46118 + 5495 (center skill) + 5495 (guest center skill) = 57108
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 129708
Estimated average score	129708 (non-skill score) + 37287 (average skill score) = 166995
Estimated maximum score	129708 (non-skill score) + 123004 (maximum skill score) = 252712
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 129770 (non-skill score) + 37018 (skills score) = 166788 Percentile 10: 129770 (non-skill score) + 29224 (skills score) = 158994 Percentile 50: 129770 (non-skill score) + 37074 (skills score) = 166844 Percentile 90: 129770 (non-skill score) + 45097 (skills score) = 174867 Percentile 95: 129770 (non-skill score) + 47139 (skills score) = 176909 Percentile 99: 129770 (non-skill score) + 51893 (skills score) = 181663 Percentile 99.5: 129770 (non-skill score) + 52793 (skills score) = 182563

Center

Umi Sonoda

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	4109 5478 3725
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 272 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 15681
Estimated skill score	272 x 5.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2277 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	272 x 5.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2336
Estimated total score	15681 (estimated non-skill score) + 2277 (estimated skill score) = 17958

Left4

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 16083
Estimated skill score	244 x 7.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2752 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 7.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2774
Estimated total score	16083 (estimated non-skill score) + 2752 (estimated skill score) = 18835

Left3

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 15929
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5630 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5694
Estimated total score	15929 (estimated non-skill score) + 5630 (estimated skill score) = 21558

Left2

Chika Takami

Stats	Level 100	4071 5076 3879
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 14527
Estimated skill score	111 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5216 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 32.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5256
Estimated total score	14527 (estimated non-skill score) + 5216 (estimated skill score) = 19743

Left1

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 7	Every 14.4 seconds, there is a 33% chance of increasing the score of each note by 435 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 8813
Estimated skill score	435 x 8.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5598 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	435 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5548
Estimated total score	8813 (estimated non-skill score) + 5598 (estimated skill score) = 14411

Right1

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	4015 4717 4346
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 13503
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5007 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 4964
Estimated total score	13503 (estimated non-skill score) + 5007 (estimated skill score) = 18510

Right2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 15692
Estimated skill score	318 x 4.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2137 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 4.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2044
Estimated total score	15692 (estimated non-skill score) + 2137 (estimated skill score) = 17829

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 15949
Estimated skill score	289 x 6.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 2800 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 6.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 2774
Estimated total score	15949 (estimated non-skill score) + 2800 (estimated skill score) = 18749

Right4

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	3771 4728 3851
Skill	Level 9	Every 7 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 181 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 714 (base note score) x 181.7 (total multiplier) = 13532
Estimated skill score	181 x 22.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 146 = 5869 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	181 x 22.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 146 = 5840
Estimated total score	13532 (estimated non-skill score) + 5869 (estimated skill score) = 19401