Poker face＆お願い！Fairy

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x46	Lv 100 / SL 9 x74.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x67.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x74.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x35.9

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	49132 + 6392 (center skill) + 6392 (guest center skill) = 61916
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 358433
Estimated average score	358433 (non-skill score) + 100579 (average skill score) = 459012
Estimated maximum score	358433 (non-skill score) + 301033 (maximum skill score) = 659466
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 358616 (non-skill score) + 99752 (skills score) = 458368 Percentile 10: 358616 (non-skill score) + 83879 (skills score) = 442495 Percentile 50: 358616 (non-skill score) + 99710 (skills score) = 458326 Percentile 90: 358616 (non-skill score) + 116291 (skills score) = 474907 Percentile 95: 358616 (non-skill score) + 121572 (skills score) = 480188 Percentile 99: 358616 (non-skill score) + 130702 (skills score) = 489318 Percentile 99.5: 358616 (non-skill score) + 133154 (skills score) = 491770

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 40760
Estimated skill score	159 x 24.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 12928 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 24% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 12692
Estimated total score	40760 (estimated non-skill score) + 12928 (estimated skill score) = 53689

Left4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	3919 5251 3986
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 38306
Estimated skill score	140 x 21.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 9992 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 21.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 10020
Estimated total score	38306 (estimated non-skill score) + 9992 (estimated skill score) = 48298

Left3

Setsuna Yuuki

Stats	Level 100	3708 5372 4024
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 125 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 39192
Estimated skill score	125 x 19.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 8166 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	125 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 8016
Estimated total score	39192 (estimated non-skill score) + 8166 (estimated skill score) = 47358

Left2

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3918 5272 3966
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 130 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 38462
Estimated skill score	130 x 17.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 7407 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	130 x 16.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 7348
Estimated total score	38462 (estimated non-skill score) + 7407 (estimated skill score) = 45870

Left1

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 40813
Estimated skill score	311 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 12176 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 11.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 12024
Estimated total score	40813 (estimated non-skill score) + 12176 (estimated skill score) = 52988

Right1

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 40674
Estimated skill score	210 x 19.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 13524 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 13360
Estimated total score	40674 (estimated non-skill score) + 13524 (estimated skill score) = 54198

Right2

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	3805 5283 3990
Skill	Level 9	Every 12 combo, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 118 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 38538
Estimated skill score	118 x 23.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 9355 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	118 x 23.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 9352
Estimated total score	38538 (estimated non-skill score) + 9355 (estimated skill score) = 47892

Right3

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 40697
Estimated skill score	234 x 15.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 12449 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 15.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 12358
Estimated total score	40697 (estimated non-skill score) + 12449 (estimated skill score) = 53146

Right4

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 463.1 (total multiplier) = 40992
Estimated skill score	244 x 17.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 334 = 14581 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 17.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 334 = 14362
Estimated total score	40992 (estimated non-skill score) + 14581 (estimated skill score) = 55573