Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x114.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x98.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x86	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x90.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48627 + 6325 (center skill) + 6325 (guest center skill) = 61277
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 574745
Estimated average score	574745 (non-skill score) + 303897 (average skill score) = 878642
Estimated maximum score	574745 (non-skill score) + 956782 (maximum skill score) = 1531527
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 575013 (non-skill score) + 303788 (skills score) = 878801 Percentile 10: 575013 (non-skill score) + 263358 (skills score) = 838371 Percentile 50: 575013 (non-skill score) + 303089 (skills score) = 878102 Percentile 90: 575013 (non-skill score) + 345512 (skills score) = 920525 Percentile 95: 575013 (non-skill score) + 358539 (skills score) = 933552 Percentile 99: 575013 (non-skill score) + 376703 (skills score) = 951716 Percentile 99.5: 575013 (non-skill score) + 381597 (skills score) = 956610

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 65328
Estimated skill score	266 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 23.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32984
Estimated total score	65328 (estimated non-skill score) + 33006 (estimated skill score) = 98334

Left4

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 64296
Estimated skill score	319 x 19.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32330 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 19.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score	64296 (estimated non-skill score) + 32330 (estimated skill score) = 96626

Left3

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 64156
Estimated skill score	252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 28.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	64156 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 102616

Left2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 66172
Estimated skill score	198 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 32.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 34580
Estimated total score	66172 (estimated non-skill score) + 33962 (estimated skill score) = 100134

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	4907 3619 3824
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 57993
Estimated skill score	163 x 44.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38894 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 44.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38836
Estimated total score	57993 (estimated non-skill score) + 38894 (estimated skill score) = 96887

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 66313
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 18.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32452
Estimated total score	66313 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 98497

Right2

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 23 combo, there is a 52% chance of increasing the score of each note by 108 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 64268
Estimated skill score	108 x 40.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 23419 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 40.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 23408
Estimated total score	64268 (estimated non-skill score) + 23419 (estimated skill score) = 87687

Right3

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 65347
Estimated skill score	210 x 34.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38506 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 34.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38304
Estimated total score	65347 (estimated non-skill score) + 38506 (estimated skill score) = 103852

Right4

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	5150 4075 4243
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 183 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 750.3 (total multiplier) = 60873
Estimated skill score	183 x 34% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33136 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	183 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32984
Estimated total score	60873 (estimated non-skill score) + 33136 (estimated skill score) = 94009