Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x114.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x108.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x109.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48728 + 6338 (center skill) + 6338 (guest center skill) = 61404
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 604984
Estimated average score	604984 (non-skill score) + 238603 (average skill score) = 843587
Estimated maximum score	604984 (non-skill score) + 764994 (maximum skill score) = 1369978
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 605256 (non-skill score) + 238474 (skills score) = 843730 Percentile 10: 605256 (non-skill score) + 203677 (skills score) = 808933 Percentile 50: 605256 (non-skill score) + 237073 (skills score) = 842329 Percentile 90: 605256 (non-skill score) + 275929 (skills score) = 881185 Percentile 95: 605256 (non-skill score) + 287010 (skills score) = 892266 Percentile 99: 605256 (non-skill score) + 308310 (skills score) = 913566 Percentile 99.5: 605256 (non-skill score) + 313449 (skills score) = 918705

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 68623
Estimated skill score	266 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33006 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 23.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 32984
Estimated total score	68623 (estimated non-skill score) + 33006 (estimated skill score) = 101629

Left4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69657
Estimated skill score	332 x 18.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 32184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 17.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 31388
Estimated total score	69657 (estimated non-skill score) + 32184 (estimated skill score) = 101841

Left3

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 23 combo, there is a 52% chance of increasing the score of each note by 108 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67510
Estimated skill score	108 x 40.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 23419 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 40% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 22876
Estimated total score	67510 (estimated non-skill score) + 23419 (estimated skill score) = 90928

Left2

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65697
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 16914 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 16492
Estimated total score	65697 (estimated non-skill score) + 16914 (estimated skill score) = 82611

Left1

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5135 4120 3771
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 63756
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 16914 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 17024
Estimated total score	63756 (estimated non-skill score) + 16914 (estimated skill score) = 80670

Right1

Shiki Wakana

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	Every 14 combo, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 123 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 65381
Estimated skill score	123 x 33.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 22185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 34.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 22344
Estimated total score	65381 (estimated non-skill score) + 22185 (estimated skill score) = 87566

Right2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 174 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67460
Estimated skill score	174 x 23.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 21559 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 21812
Estimated total score	67460 (estimated non-skill score) + 21559 (estimated skill score) = 89019

Right3

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 67391
Estimated skill score	252 x 28.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 38461 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 28.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 38836
Estimated total score	67391 (estimated non-skill score) + 38461 (estimated skill score) = 105852

Right4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 787.7 (total multiplier) = 69510
Estimated skill score	198 x 32.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 532 = 33962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 32.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 532 = 34048
Estimated total score	69510 (estimated non-skill score) + 33962 (estimated skill score) = 103471